# ABARES says crops on target for third-largest yield on record | Farm Weekly | WA

> ABARES' September 2025 Australian Crop Report raised the national winter crop forecast 2% year on year to 62Mt, the third-largest on record. The report revised production up 12% from June, with wheat forecast to fall 1% to 33.8Mt and barley rising 10% to 14.6Mt. Canola is forecast at 6.4Mt, with improvements in WA, SA and Victoria.

- Date: 2025-09-04 · published 2025-09-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22822-abares-says-crops-on-target-for-third-largest-yield-on-record-farm-weekly-wa
- Commodities: [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Higher barley and canola output increases Australian export availability, which weighs on global feed-grain and meal prices. The slight wheat decline offers limited support.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- CANMEAL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-02 | [National winter crop production forecast to fall, still the fourth-largest on record. - ABC listen](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17452-national-winter-crop-production-forecast-to-fall-still-the-fourth-largest-on.md) | +0.7% | +2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-29 | [Record Corn Crop Weighs on Prices Thru Harvest - ADM Investor Services](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22895-record-corn-crop-weighs-on-prices-thru-harvest-adm-investor-services.md) | -0.6% | +1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2022-02-28 | [Ag's $81-billion record-breaking year off the back of rising commodities: ABARES \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42661-ag-s-81-billion-record-breaking-year-off-the-back-of-rising-commodities-abares.md) | +12.1% | +26.0% |
| WHEAT | 2024-01-12 | [USDA Sees Record Corn Yield in Friday's Latest Reports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32068-usda-sees-record-corn-yield-in-friday-s-latest-reports.md) | +0.4% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-01-17 | [Record crop could lose 4.65mt according to estimate \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66944-record-crop-could-lose-4-65mt-according-to-estimate-farm-online-act.md) | +2.6% | +6.4% |

## Sources

- farmweekly.com.au: https://www.farmweekly.com.au/story/9056032/abares-says-crops-on-target-for-third-largest-yield-on-record/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.