# Return of La Nina a Distinct Likelihood This Fall

> DTN meteorologist John Baranick, writing August 31, 2025, says La Niña is likely to return in fall, especially late in the season, typically bringing a warmer, drier pattern to much of the US. He notes the southern and eastern Corn Belt were very dry in August and likely saw yield trimming, with intense drought in the West.

- Date: 2025-09-01 · published 2025-09-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22792-return-of-la-nina-a-distinct-likelihood-this-fall
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Dryness already trimming Corn Belt yields plus a drier outlook for winter wheat areas supports feed grain and wheat prices, though good harvest conditions limit the upside.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2022-10-06 | [Is La Nina Returning to Southern Brazil?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13696-is-la-nina-returning-to-southern-brazil.md) | +0.8% | +0.2% |
| CORN | 2021-08-01 | [La Niña climate pattern should return this fall and last through winter. Here's what to expect.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45982-la-nina-climate-pattern-should-return-this-fall-and-last-through-winter-here-s.md) | +1.0% | +0.7% |
| CORN | 2021-08-18 | [La Niña’s Likely Return Could Impact Brazil, US Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45487-la-nina-s-likely-return-could-impact-brazil-us-corn.md) | -1.4% | -10.1% |
| CORN | 2026-03-25 | [Return of El Niño expected, but impacts not likely until fall \| Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20086-return-of-el-nino-expected-but-impacts-not-likely-until-fall-agri-pulse.md) | -1.0% | -1.2% |
| CORN | 2021-11-18 | [A Return to Normal La Nina Pattern Unfavorable for Argentina, Southern Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43972-a-return-to-normal-la-nina-pattern-unfavorable-for-argentina-southern-brazil.md) | +0.5% | +4.0% |
| SOY | 2022-10-06 | [Is La Nina Returning to Southern Brazil?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13696-is-la-nina-returning-to-southern-brazil.md) | +1.9% | +5.1% |
| SOY | 2021-08-01 | [La Niña climate pattern should return this fall and last through winter. Here's what to expect.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45982-la-nina-climate-pattern-should-return-this-fall-and-last-through-winter-here-s.md) | +0.5% | -3.9% |
| SOY | 2026-03-25 | [Return of El Niño expected, but impacts not likely until fall \| Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20086-return-of-el-nino-expected-but-impacts-not-likely-until-fall-agri-pulse.md) | +1.4% | +0.8% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/article/2025/09/01/return-la-nina-distinct-likelihood

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.