# La Niña may return but temperatures are likely to be above average

> The WMO's September 2, 2025 update says La Niña may emerge from September, with a 55% chance of La Niña-level Pacific cooling for September to November and about 60% for October to December. It also projects above-average temperatures for much of the world.

- Date: 2025-09-01 · published 2025-09-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22790-la-nina-may-return-but-temperatures-are-likely-to-be-above-average
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

La Niña odds rising into the next crop year raise the risk of dryness in South America and the US southern Plains, which tends to support grain and oilseed prices over time.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2022-04-14 | [May, Summer Temperature Outlook: Hotter Than Average for Much of Lower 48 \| Weather.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41774-may-summer-temperature-outlook-hotter-than-average-for-much-of-lower-48-weather.md) | +4.3% | -0.9% |
| SOY | 2025-09-01 | [Return of La Nina a Distinct Likelihood This Fall](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22792-return-of-la-nina-a-distinct-likelihood-this-fall.md) | -2.2% | -2.5% |
| SOY | 2020-10-12 | [La Niña weather pattern to affect local agriculture but in a good way - AFDJ](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50567-la-nina-weather-pattern-to-affect-local-agriculture-but-in-a-good-way-afdj.md) | -1.5% | +3.1% |
| SOY | 2022-01-14 | [La Niña Conditions Likely to Continue into Spring - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43037-la-nina-conditions-likely-to-continue-into-spring-agweb.md) | +3.6% | +15.9% |
| SOY | 2022-10-06 | [Is La Nina Returning to Southern Brazil?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13696-is-la-nina-returning-to-southern-brazil.md) | +1.9% | +5.1% |
| CORN | 2021-08-18 | [La Niña’s Likely Return Could Impact Brazil, US Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45487-la-nina-s-likely-return-could-impact-brazil-us-corn.md) | -1.4% | -10.1% |
| CORN | 2018-02-27 | [Dry weather conditions and high temperatures likely to reduce harvests in Southern Africa](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66421-dry-weather-conditions-and-high-temperatures-likely-to-reduce-harvests-in.md) | +1.6% | +2.4% |
| CORN | 2022-04-14 | [May, Summer Temperature Outlook: Hotter Than Average for Much of Lower 48 \| Weather.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41774-may-summer-temperature-outlook-hotter-than-average-for-much-of-lower-48-weather.md) | +3.1% | +1.9% |

## Sources

- wmo.int: https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/la-nina-may-return-temperatures-are-likely-be-above-average

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.