# Global Phosphate Supply Constraints Expected to Keep Prices Elevated — Louisiana Farm Bureau News

> Itafos CEO David Delaney says phosphate fertilizer costs will stay elevated because of limited new global capacity, declining Florida ore reserves, and China pulling back from exports. He noted US domestic phosphate operating rates have roughly halved since 1990 and that no new US production is expected within five years.

- Date: 2025-10-30 · published 2025-10-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22719-global-phosphate-supply-constraints-expected-to-keep-prices-elevated-louisiana
- Commodities: [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md), [TSP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/TSP.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Tight phosphate supply and weak new capacity support higher DAP and TSP prices, raising costs for feed-grain and livestock producers' inputs over the medium term.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- TSP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2021-10-01 | [China expected to stop phosphate exports,  food production prices set to rise - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4698-china-expected-to-stop-phosphate-exports-food-production-prices-set-to-rise-abc.md) | +4.6% | +4.6% |
| DAP | 2026-01-06 | [Phosphate fertilizer prices expected to stay high in 2026 as China export limits persist - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20977-phosphate-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-stay-high-in-2026-as-china-export.md) | 0.0% | -0.4% |
| DAP | 2026-10-19 | [China's Phosphate Fertilizer Exports Collapse, Squeezing Global Supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17363-china-s-phosphate-fertilizer-exports-collapse-squeezing-global-supply.md) | 0.0% | — |
| DAP | 2023-03-17 | [Phosphate Farm Prices Remain Elevated, It’s Time for Action on Import Tariffs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37190-phosphate-farm-prices-remain-elevated-it-s-time-for-action-on-import-tariffs.md) | +1.7% | +6.7% |
| DAP | 2026-10-21 | [China's phosphate rock market is affected by the ban on phosphate fertilizer exports, affecting both prices and supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/684-china-s-phosphate-rock-market-is-affected-by-the-ban-on-phosphate-fertilizer.md) | 0.0% | — |

## Sources

- lafarmbureaunews.com: https://lafarmbureaunews.com/news/2025/10/29/global-phosphate-supply-constraints-expected-to-keep-prices-elevated

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.