# Grain markets pressured by harvest and rising stocks | Saxo

> Saxo reports USDA's Quarterly Stocks report showed US corn inventories of 1.532 billion bushels, about 15% above trade expectations, pushing December corn to a one-month low near $4.13. Wheat hit a contract low, and speculators hold record seasonal net shorts across grains.

- Date: 2025-10-01 · published 2025-10-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22425-grain-markets-pressured-by-harvest-and-rising-stocks-saxo
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

A larger-than-expected corn carryout and heavy fund shorts point to continued bearish pressure on US corn and wheat prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bullish ▲
- SOY: neutral
- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2019-05-10 | [Bearish corn stocks pressure futures - Alliance Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59043-bearish-corn-stocks-pressure-futures-alliance-grain.md) | +5.8% | +12.3% |
| CORN | 2025-09-30 | [Grain markets react to unexpected USDA stocks data](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9840-grain-markets-react-to-unexpected-usda-stocks-data.md) | +0.8% | +1.0% |
| CORN | 2025-11-20 | [IGC: Bumper harvests boost global grain stocks \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10499-igc-bumper-harvests-boost-global-grain-stocks-world-grain.md) | +0.1% | +1.7% |
| CORN | 2021-05-07 | [Grain Market Surprised at Higher Ending Stock Estimates \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47040-grain-market-surprised-at-higher-ending-stock-estimates-red-river-farm-network.md) | -3.0% | -7.4% |
| CORN | 2025-01-06 | [Larger grain harvest predicted for EU - Food & Agribusiness](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26442-larger-grain-harvest-predicted-for-eu-food-and-agribusiness.md) | +4.1% | +5.3% |
| WHEAT | 2024-11-28 | [Wheat markets fall: Harvest pressure from Argentina and](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11778-wheat-markets-fall-harvest-pressure-from-argentina-and.md) | +0.2% | +2.4% |
| WHEAT | 2023-04-03 | [South Australia’s grain harvest rises by 51%   - Milling Midd ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36370-south-australia-s-grain-harvest-rises-by-51-milling-midd.md) | -13.2% | -13.6% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-28 | [Wheat and barley markets face pressure as global grain supplies rise \| The Scottish Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/123-wheat-and-barley-markets-face-pressure-as-global-grain-supplies-rise-the.md) | +0.2% | — |

## Sources

- home.saxo: https://www.home.saxo/content/articles/commodities/grain-markets-pressured-by-harvest-and-rising-stocks-01102025

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.