# Falls in milk prices expected due to tumbling commodity prices and a surplus of milk | AHDB

> GB milk production for the milk year to date is 5.2% above last year and the highest in the past decade, despite very dry UK conditions. Booming supply has come from a high milk-to-feed price ratio and record compound feed sales. Milk prices are expected to fall as supplies build globally and dairy commodity stocks rise.

- Date: 2025-10-02 · published 2025-10-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: market · region UK · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22413-falls-in-milk-prices-expected-due-to-tumbling-commodity-prices-and-a-surplus-of
- Commodities: [Milk (Class III)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/MILK.md)

## Why it matters

Surplus milk and rising dairy stocks point to lower UK and global milk prices, reducing dairy demand strength and the value of milk-based products.

## Read by commodity

- MILK: bearish ▼

## Sources

- ahdb.org.uk: https://ahdb.org.uk/Contents/Item/Display/140034

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.