# USDA raises milk output forecast for 2025 and 2026
						 | The Dairy Site

> USDA's September Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook raised its forecasts for dairy cow numbers, milk per cow, and total milk production in both 2025 and 2026. Projected output is 230.0 billion pounds in 2025 and 231.3 billion in 2026. Class III and IV price forecasts were cut as a result.

- Date: 2025-10-06 · published 2025-10-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22411-usda-raises-milk-output-forecast-for-2025-and-2026-the-dairy-site
- Commodities: [Milk (Class III)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/MILK.md)

## Why it matters

A larger US milk supply forecast with lower Class III and IV prices points to weaker dairy commodity values and softer milk prices for feed buyers.

## Read by commodity

- MILK: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MILK | 2026-07-10 | [USDA raises milk output forecast but cuts milk price outlook
						 \| The Dairy Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18340-usda-raises-milk-output-forecast-but-cuts-milk-price-outlook-the-dairy-site.md) | +0.4% | +6.4% |
| MILK | 2026-01-24 | [USDA increases 2026 milk production forecast - Dairy Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21063-usda-increases-2026-milk-production-forecast-dairy-star.md) | -0.5% | +2.2% |
| MILK | 2025-03-13 | [USDA Lowers 2025 Dairy Product, Milk Price Forecasts, Also Reduces Milk Production Forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25582-usda-lowers-2025-dairy-product-milk-price-forecasts-also-reduces-milk.md) | -0.5% | -7.2% |
| MILK | 2017-10-17 | [Mid-October dairy economic update: USDA raises milk production forecasts -  \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68461-mid-october-dairy-economic-update-usda-raises-milk-production-forecasts-ag-proud.md) | -0.9% | +0.2% |
| MILK | 2020-09-11 | [USDA: Milk output forecast raised; smaller harvest boosts feed price projections - Progressive Dairy \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51235-usda-milk-output-forecast-raised-smaller-harvest-boosts-feed-price-projections.md) | -1.6% | +24.9% |

## Sources

- thedairysite.com: https://www.thedairysite.com/news/usda-raises-milk-output-forecast-for-2025-and-2026

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.