# Brazilian ethanol exports to slump, imports to spike 80%: USDA

> The USDA projects Brazilian ethanol exports will fall to 1.5 billion liters in 2025 because domestic production has become less cost-competitive. Imports are expected to rise about 80%.

- Date: 2025-10-01 · published 2025-10-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22402-brazilian-ethanol-exports-to-slump-imports-to-spike-80-usda
- Commodities: [DDGS](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DDGS.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A shift from exports to imports reflects a change in Brazil's ethanol balance that has little direct effect on feed-grain prices. Any impact on corn would come through longer-term biofuel demand.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2020-08-10 | [FEATURE: Brazilian ethanol trade flow reverses to net exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51616-feature-brazilian-ethanol-trade-flow-reverses-to-net-exports.md) | +4.0% | +9.0% |
| CORN | 2017-11-03 | [U.S. Ethanol Exports Slip in September, as Shipments to Brazil Sag](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67988-u-s-ethanol-exports-slip-in-september-as-shipments-to-brazil-sag.md) | -5.1% | -4.6% |
| CORN | 2026-05-15 | [US, Brazil see jump in ethanol exports as consumers seek to boost fuel supplies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19247-us-brazil-see-jump-in-ethanol-exports-as-consumers-seek-to-boost-fuel-supplies.md) | +1.2% | -7.4% |
| CORN | 2026-10-28 | [Canada, E.U. remain top spots for U.S. ethanol exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/1364-canada-e-u-remain-top-spots-for-u-s-ethanol-exports.md) | -0.5% | — |
| CORN | 2023-10-25 | [ADM Profit Tops Estimates On Good Ethanol Margins, Brazilian Exports \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33610-adm-profit-tops-estimates-on-good-ethanol-margins-brazilian-exports-esm-magazine.md) | -3.5% | -4.0% |

## Sources

- qcintel.com: https://www.qcintel.com/biofuels/article/brazilian-ethanol-exports-to-slump-imports-to-spike-80-usda-49826.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.