# Corn ethanol set to overtake sugarcane’s long-standing dominance

> Datagro projects Brazil's corn ethanol capacity, including plants under construction and planned, will reach 24.7 billion liters by 2034, roughly matching sugarcane ethanol output. Corn ethanol is also much cheaper to produce than cane ethanol at current corn and DDG prices.

- Date: 2025-10-23 · published 2025-10-23T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22397-corn-ethanol-set-to-overtake-sugarcane-s-long-standing-dominance
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Rapid growth in corn ethanol adds sizeable new corn demand in Brazil, which could tighten domestic corn balances and support prices over the next decade. The shift is structural and gradual rather than a near-term shock.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-07-28 | [Rate Difference in Grain-Based and Sugarcane-Based Ethanol Production Affecting Sector: Official – Outlook Business](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23740-rate-difference-in-grain-based-and-sugarcane-based-ethanol-production-affecting.md) | +0.5% | +0.7% |
| CORN | 2017-06-19 | [US corn ethanol producers to tap into overseas demand - Governors' Biofuels Coalition](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70503-us-corn-ethanol-producers-to-tap-into-overseas-demand-governors-biofuels.md) | -5.4% | -1.7% |
| CORN | 2025-05-03 | [Mexico's act of resistance over GM corn - The New Lede](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24633-mexico-s-act-of-resistance-over-gm-corn-the-new-lede.md) | -2.9% | -1.6% |
| CORN | 2024-09-04 | [Ethanol push turns India into corn importer, shaking up global market](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28323-ethanol-push-turns-india-into-corn-importer-shaking-up-global-market.md) | -1.4% | +4.9% |
| CORN | 2024-06-05 | [Brazil could triple corn ethanol output, margins to stay healthy: Inpasa](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29741-brazil-could-triple-corn-ethanol-output-margins-to-stay-healthy-inpasa.md) | +5.7% | -3.0% |

## Sources

- valorinternational.globo.com: https://valorinternational.globo.com/agribusiness/news/2025/10/23/corn-ethanol-set-to-overtake-sugarcanes-long-standing-dominance.ghtml

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.