# Australia’s wheat harvest forecast raised to near-record level

> Analysts raised Australia's wheat harvest estimate to a median of 35.7 million tonnes, offsetting southern drought losses with better western yields. Barley was lifted to about 15 million tonnes, a record, while canola was little changed.

- Date: 2025-10-20 · published 2025-10-20T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22354-australia-s-wheat-harvest-forecast-raised-to-near-record-level
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Higher Australian wheat and barley output adds to global supply, keeping Chicago wheat near five-year lows and pressuring export prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-03 | [Australia increases wheat harvest forecast to 34.1 mln tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25546-australia-increases-wheat-harvest-forecast-to-34-1-mln-tons.md) | -3.4% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2021-11-30 | [Australia set to harvest record grain crop \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44019-australia-set-to-harvest-record-grain-crop-world-grain.md) | -1.0% | -3.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-01 | [Australia Raises Wheat Forecast to Fourth Largest After Rain - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22823-australia-raises-wheat-forecast-to-fourth-largest-after-rain-bloomberg.md) | -0.6% | -1.2% |
| WHEAT | 2023-01-30 | [Australia grain harvest running to record \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37734-australia-grain-harvest-running-to-record-world-grain.md) | +3.4% | +1.2% |
| WHEAT | 2022-12-08 | [Australia Set for Record Grain Harvest Despite Weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38220-australia-set-for-record-grain-harvest-despite-weather.md) | +9.5% | +8.2% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/australias-wheat-harvest-forecast-raised-to-near-record-level/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.