# Another robust harvest ahead, but prices fail to keep pace – Rabobank 2025/26 Australian winter crop forecast

> Rabobank forecasts Australia's 2025/26 winter grain crop at 62.8 million tonnes, up 6.4% year on year, driven by wheat and canola yields and a rise in barley area. The bank warns that global grain supply is surging and will keep downward pressure on prices.

- Date: 2025-10-20 · published 2025-10-20T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22350-another-robust-harvest-ahead-but-prices-fail-to-keep-pace-rabobank-2025-26
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A larger Australian harvest intensifies export competition for wheat and barley, reinforcing bearish price expectations in global feed grain markets.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- CANMEAL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-11-09 | [Another robust harvest ahead, but prices fail to keep pace – Rabobank 2025/26 Australian winter crop forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21923-another-robust-harvest-ahead-but-prices-fail-to-keep-pace-rabobank-2025-26.md) | -3.4% | -2.2% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-13 | [Australia’s winter harvest forecast ‘large but lower’ – Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17071-australia-s-winter-harvest-forecast-large-but-lower-rabobank.md) | -0.4% | — |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-10 | [Australian winter crops forecast to increase by 9% in 2024/25 \| Farm Weekly \| WA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29199-australian-winter-crops-forecast-to-increase-by-9-in-2024-25-farm-weekly-wa.md) | -4.1% | -2.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-02 | [Australia's 2025-26 Winter Crop Forecast: Near-Record Harvest of 66.3 Million Tonnes \| ABARES - News and Statistics - IndexBox](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21472-australia-s-2025-26-winter-crop-forecast-near-record-harvest-of-66-3-million.md) | -1.2% | -1.1% |
| WHEAT | 2021-09-08 | [Australia to harvest another bumper wheat crop 08.09.2021 - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45033-australia-to-harvest-another-bumper-wheat-crop-08-09-2021-ukragroconsult.md) | +2.2% | +5.0% |

## Sources

- rabobank.com.au: https://www.rabobank.com.au/news/media-releases/2025/another-robust-harvest-ahead-but-prices-fail-to-keep-pace-rabobank-2025-26-australian-winter-crop-forecast

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.