# ABARES lifts forecast as yield potential in northern NSW, Qld and WA increases | The Land | NSW

> ABARES raised its September Australian winter crop forecast by 2% to 62 million tonnes for 2025/26, the third-largest on record. Yield potential is rising in northern NSW, Queensland and Western Australia, while southern regions remain uncertain.

- Date: 2025-10-01 · published 2025-10-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22348-abares-lifts-forecast-as-yield-potential-in-northern-nsw-qld-and-wa-increases
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A larger Australian crop expands export supply and, alongside record global wheat output, is softening cereal and oilseed prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- CANMEAL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2017-03-17 | [Strategie Grains Increased Its Forecast On Wheat And Barley Yields In The EU, But Decreased Its Corn Forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71948-strategie-grains-increased-its-forecast-on-wheat-and-barley-yields-in-the-eu.md) | -2.9% | -0.0% |
| WHEAT | 2020-06-16 | [Rebound in grain production lifts wheat forecast to 26.7Mt: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52584-rebound-in-grain-production-lifts-wheat-forecast-to-26-7mt-abares-grain-central.md) | +1.5% | -4.7% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-06 | [ABARES releases forecast for Australian grain yield \| Dry Bulk](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29710-abares-releases-forecast-for-australian-grain-yield-dry-bulk.md) | +3.7% | -7.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-01 | [ABARES lifts forecasts for canola, wheat, barley - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21468-abares-lifts-forecasts-for-canola-wheat-barley-grain-central.md) | +1.9% | +0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-03 | [ABARES lifts forecasts for wheat, barley, canola - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25537-abares-lifts-forecasts-for-wheat-barley-canola-grain-central.md) | -3.4% | +0.5% |

## Sources

- theland.com.au: https://www.theland.com.au/story/9078237/abares-lifts-forecast-as-yield-potential-in-northern-nsw-qld-and-wa-increases/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.