# Australia’s wheat production outlook improves as harvest begins - AgCanada

> Reuters polling of analysts found Australia's wheat crop estimate raised to a median of 35.7 million tonnes, the third-biggest on record. Barley estimates rose to a record 15 million tonnes, while canola was little changed at 6.5 million tonnes.

- Date: 2025-10-20 · published 2025-10-20T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22345-australia-s-wheat-production-outlook-improves-as-harvest-begins-agcanada
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Larger Australian wheat and barley output adds to abundant global supply that has pushed Chicago prices to five-year lows, weighing on export prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-08-02 | [Precipitation improved the prospects for the wheat harvest in Australia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28738-precipitation-improved-the-prospects-for-the-wheat-harvest-in-australia.md) | +4.8% | -2.5% |
| WHEAT | 2025-01-24 | [Australia Wheat Industry Sees Record Production Boom](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26461-australia-wheat-industry-sees-record-production-boom.md) | +3.9% | +4.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-01 | [Australia raises wheat harvest estimate by nearly two million tonnes - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21469-australia-raises-wheat-harvest-estimate-by-nearly-two-million-tonnes-agcanada.md) | +1.9% | +0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2024-12-03 | [Australia raises wheat production forecast by 60,000 tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26917-australia-raises-wheat-production-forecast-by-60-000-tons.md) | +1.1% | +2.7% |
| WHEAT | 2024-09-03 | [Australia raises wheat production forecast by 2.7 mln tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28282-australia-raises-wheat-production-forecast-by-2-7-mln-tons.md) | +1.6% | +11.6% |

## Sources

- agcanada.com: https://www.agcanada.com/daily/australias-wheat-production-outlook-improves-as-harvest-begins

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.