# Weekly Australian Climate, Water and Agricultural Update, 16 October 2025 - DAFF

> Australian rainfall in the week to 15 October was low across southern cropping regions, while parts of Queensland received up to 50mm. Ongoing dryness in South Australia, Victoria and southern New South Wales raises downside production risk for winter crops in their final yield-determining stages.

- Date: 2025-10-16 · published 2025-10-16T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22343-weekly-australian-climate-water-and-agricultural-update-16-october-2025-daff
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Southern Australian yield losses could tighten the export supply of wheat and barley, partly offsetting the otherwise ample global grain supply and supporting prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-10-19 | [Weekly Australian Climate, Water and Agricultural Update, 19 October 2023 - DAFF](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33572-weekly-australian-climate-water-and-agricultural-update-19-october-2023-daff.md) | -2.6% | -4.4% |
| WHEAT | 2024-05-16 | [Weekly Australian Climate, Water and Agricultural Update, 16 May 2024 - DAFF](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30189-weekly-australian-climate-water-and-agricultural-update-16-may-2024-daff.md) | +19.1% | +8.2% |
| WHEAT | 2025-05-15 | [Weekly Australian Climate, Water and Agricultural Update, 15 May 2025 - DAFF](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24626-weekly-australian-climate-water-and-agricultural-update-15-may-2025-daff.md) | -3.9% | -3.2% |
| WHEAT | 2023-11-16 | [Weekly Australian Climate, Water and Agricultural Update, 16 November 2023 - DAFF](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33121-weekly-australian-climate-water-and-agricultural-update-16-november-2023-daff.md) | +3.7% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-23 | [Weekly Australian Climate, Water and Agricultural Update, 23 April 2026 - DAFF](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19687-weekly-australian-climate-water-and-agricultural-update-23-april-2026-daff.md) | +1.4% | +2.5% |

## Sources

- agriculture.gov.au: https://www.agriculture.gov.au/abares/products/weekly_update/weekly-update-251016

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.