# Possible Chinese export restrictions could impact global fertilizer market - DatamarNews

> StoneX analysts say China could restrict fertilizer exports in the fourth quarter of 2025, a recurring pattern meant to protect domestic planting supply. The report flags nitrogen and phosphate products, especially MAP, which made up about 16% of global volume in 2024. Brazil, a major MAP importer, is cited as most exposed.

- Date: 2025-10-22 · published 2025-10-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22329-possible-chinese-export-restrictions-could-impact-global-fertilizer-market
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

Possible Chinese curbs would reduce global MAP and urea availability and increase competition for shipments to Brazil. This points to firmer phosphate and nitrogen prices and tighter margins for Brazilian growers.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2025-11-04 | [China’s export controls drive up global fertilizer prices - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21859-china-s-export-controls-drive-up-global-fertilizer-prices-datamarnews.md) | -0.6% | -10.8% |
| DAP | 2025-12-30 | [China Raises Concerns in the Fertilizer Market - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21834-china-raises-concerns-in-the-fertilizer-market-datamarnews.md) | 0.0% | -0.4% |
| DAP | 2026-01-26 | [China's 2025 Phosphate Export Cuts Tighten Global Fertilizer Market and Impact Key Importers \| Tridge Insights](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20981-china-s-2025-phosphate-export-cuts-tighten-global-fertilizer-market-and-impact.md) | +0.4% | +1.3% |
| DAP | 2021-10-05 | [China’s fertilizer exports ban raises worries from global markets - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5907-china-s-fertilizer-exports-ban-raises-worries-from-global-markets-fastmarkets.md) | 0.0% | +3.3% |
| DAP | 2024-06-14 | [China Halts Urea Export Inspections; Global Prices Rise - Green Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29675-china-halts-urea-export-inspections-global-prices-rise-green-markets.md) | +0.9% | +1.6% |
| UREA | 2025-11-04 | [China’s export controls drive up global fertilizer prices - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21859-china-s-export-controls-drive-up-global-fertilizer-prices-datamarnews.md) | -2.3% | -10.6% |
| UREA | 2021-10-05 | [China’s fertilizer exports ban raises worries from global markets - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5907-china-s-fertilizer-exports-ban-raises-worries-from-global-markets-fastmarkets.md) | +6.2% | +11.5% |
| UREA | 2024-06-14 | [China Halts Urea Export Inspections; Global Prices Rise - Green Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29675-china-halts-urea-export-inspections-global-prices-rise-green-markets.md) | +0.2% | -1.7% |

## Sources

- datamarnews.com: https://datamarnews.com/noticias/possible-chinese-export-restrictions-could-impact-global-fertilizer-market/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.