# La Niña Watch Is On — Here’s How It Could Shake Up Drought and Winter Weather - AgWeb

> AgWeb reported on 17 October 2025 that the Climate Prediction Center gives a 71% chance of La Niña developing from October through December and has issued a La Niña Watch. Nutrien's Eric Snodgrass expects an early-peaking event with dryness in the US South and wetter-north, drier-south conditions in South America.

- Date: 2025-10-17 · published 2025-10-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22315-la-nina-watch-is-on-here-s-how-it-could-shake-up-drought-and-winter-weather
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Expected dryness in southern US and South America raises the risk of crop shortfalls and tighter feed grain and soymeal supplies, which supports prices if the pattern verifies.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-08-01 | [La Niña climate pattern should return this fall and last through winter. Here's what to expect.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45982-la-nina-climate-pattern-should-return-this-fall-and-last-through-winter-here-s.md) | +1.0% | +0.7% |
| CORN | 2024-05-01 | [What is La Nina and how will it impact weather in 2024? \| Vox](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30154-what-is-la-nina-and-how-will-it-impact-weather-in-2024-vox.md) | +2.6% | +7.2% |
| CORN | 2024-03-11 | [A warm winter and lingering drought could set up a tough growing season in the Midwest \| Nebraska Public Media](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13201-a-warm-winter-and-lingering-drought-could-set-up-a-tough-growing-season-in-the.md) | +1.7% | -4.3% |
| CORN | 2023-05-29 | [Corn, Soybeans and Wheat in the Grips of Drought - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13276-corn-soybeans-and-wheat-in-the-grips-of-drought-agweb.md) | -4.6% | -4.0% |
| CORN | 2022-12-02 | [How did Iowa crops fare in another year of drought? \| Weather \| thegazette.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13314-how-did-iowa-crops-fare-in-another-year-of-drought-weather-thegazette-com.md) | -1.9% | +2.9% |
| SOY | 2021-08-01 | [La Niña climate pattern should return this fall and last through winter. Here's what to expect.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45982-la-nina-climate-pattern-should-return-this-fall-and-last-through-winter-here-s.md) | +0.5% | -3.9% |
| SOY | 2024-05-01 | [What is La Nina and how will it impact weather in 2024? \| Vox](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30154-what-is-la-nina-and-how-will-it-impact-weather-in-2024-vox.md) | +7.6% | +6.0% |
| SOY | 2023-05-29 | [Corn, Soybeans and Wheat in the Grips of Drought - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13276-corn-soybeans-and-wheat-in-the-grips-of-drought-agweb.md) | +1.0% | +11.8% |

## Sources

- agweb.com: https://www.agweb.com/news/crops/crop-production/la-nina-watch-heres-how-it-could-shake-drought-and-winter-weather

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.