# Global Seasonal Climate Update for November-December-January 2025-2026

> The WMO's Global Seasonal Climate Update for November-January 2025-26, dated 21 October 2025, expects Niño 3.4 sea surface temperatures to decline toward a weak La Niña. It also projects a negative Indian Ocean Dipole and continued warm western Pacific waters that keep La Niña-like conditions in place.

- Date: 2025-10-21 · published 2025-10-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22313-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-november-december-january-2025-2026
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A weak La Niña with a negative Indian Ocean Dipole raises the risk of dry weather in Argentina, southern Brazil and parts of Australia, which can cut export supplies and support grain and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-11-21 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for December-January-February 2025/2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21853-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-december-january-february-2025-2026.md) | +1.1% | +2.0% |
| CORN | 2025-09-22 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22791-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2025.md) | -0.4% | -1.1% |
| CORN | 2024-09-27 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28231-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2024.md) | +2.2% | +1.0% |
| CORN | 2025-08-25 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for September-October-November 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23241-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-september-october-november-2025.md) | +1.9% | +7.4% |
| CORN | 2026-09-02 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update - Target season: September-October-November 2026 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17394-global-seasonal-climate-update-target-season-september-october-november-2026.md) | -1.0% | +3.2% |
| SOY | 2025-11-21 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for December-January-February 2025/2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21853-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-december-january-february-2025-2026.md) | +1.4% | -6.5% |
| SOY | 2025-09-22 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22791-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2025.md) | -1.1% | -0.6% |
| SOY | 2024-09-27 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28231-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2024.md) | +0.5% | -4.3% |

## Sources

- wmo.int: https://wmo.int/media/update/global-seasonal-climate-update-november-december-january-2025-2026

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.