# Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion

> NOAA's Climate Prediction Center issued an ENSO update on 9 October 2025 maintaining a La Niña Advisory. La Niña is expected to persist through December 2025 to February 2026, with a 55% chance of transition to neutral in January-March 2026, and is expected to remain weak.

- Date: 2025-10-09 · published 2025-10-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22309-climate-prediction-center-enso-diagnostic-discussion
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A weak La Niña typically raises drought risk for South American crops and dryness in US southern plains, which can tighten soybean, corn and wheat supplies and support feed grain prices, though the effect is usually modest if the episode stays weak.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-10-14 | [Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44466-climate-prediction-center-enso-diagnostic-discussion.md) | +3.2% | +13.8% |
| CORN | 2022-07-14 | [Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40387-climate-prediction-center-enso-diagnostic-discussion.md) | -12.5% | -12.4% |
| CORN | 2021-06-13 | [The latest #ElNiño/Southern Oscillation (#ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion is hot off the presses from the #Climate Prediction Center – Coyote Gulch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46483-the-latest-elnino-southern-oscillation-enso-diagnostic-discussion-is-hot-off.md) | -2.8% | -4.2% |
| CORN | 2022-03-01 | [Sdo discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42195-sdo-discussion.md) | +4.7% | +12.1% |
| CORN | 2022-12-01 | [Sdo discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38158-sdo-discussion.md) | -3.3% | +1.9% |
| SOY | 2022-07-14 | [Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40387-climate-prediction-center-enso-diagnostic-discussion.md) | -8.8% | +6.3% |
| SOY | 2021-10-14 | [Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44466-climate-prediction-center-enso-diagnostic-discussion.md) | +4.2% | +0.7% |
| SOY | 2021-06-13 | [The latest #ElNiño/Southern Oscillation (#ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion is hot off the presses from the #Climate Prediction Center – Coyote Gulch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46483-the-latest-elnino-southern-oscillation-enso-diagnostic-discussion-is-hot-off.md) | -7.5% | -5.0% |

## Sources

- cpc.ncep.noaa.gov: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_disc_oct2025/ensodisc.shtml

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.