# EUR/USD Forecast: Advances as US data, dovish Fed signal rate cut

> EUR/USD rose about 0.4% to near 1.1570 on November 25 after weak US ADP, PPI and retail sales data. The moves reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates.

- Date: 2025-11-25 · published 2025-11-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22154-eur-usd-forecast-advances-as-us-data-dovish-fed-signal-rate-cut
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md), [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md)

## Why it matters

Expectations of Fed cuts and a softer dollar tend to support dollar-denominated commodity prices and US export demand. Feed buyers may see slightly firmer grain and meal values from this shift.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼
- EURUSD: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2026-04-30 | [EUR/USD advances as ECB holds rates, Dollar softens on mixed data](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19943-eur-usd-advances-as-ecb-holds-rates-dollar-softens-on-mixed-data.md) | -0.8% | -0.1% |
| DXY | 2025-06-23 | [US Dollar (USD) Erases Gain as Fed's Bowman Signal July Rate Cut Support - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24417-us-dollar-usd-erases-gain-as-fed-s-bowman-signal-july-rate-cut-support-bloomberg.md) | -1.1% | -0.9% |
| DXY | 2024-06-03 | [Gold rises as soft US economic data spurs Fed rate cut bets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29638-gold-rises-as-soft-us-economic-data-spurs-fed-rate-cut-bets.md) | +1.2% | +1.9% |
| DXY | 2020-02-28 | [Forex: US Dollar's Appeal Fades As Rate Cut Looms](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54802-forex-us-dollar-s-appeal-fades-as-rate-cut-looms.md) | -0.5% | +4.3% |
| DXY | 2023-12-13 | [Dollar drops as Fed signals coming rate cuts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8296-dollar-drops-as-fed-signals-coming-rate-cuts.md) | -1.0% | -0.7% |
| EURUSD | 2026-04-30 | [EUR/USD advances as ECB holds rates, Dollar softens on mixed data](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19943-eur-usd-advances-as-ecb-holds-rates-dollar-softens-on-mixed-data.md) | +0.5% | -0.4% |
| EURUSD | 2020-02-28 | [Forex: US Dollar's Appeal Fades As Rate Cut Looms](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54802-forex-us-dollar-s-appeal-fades-as-rate-cut-looms.md) | +2.0% | +0.4% |
| EURUSD | 2023-12-13 | [Dollar drops as Fed signals coming rate cuts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8296-dollar-drops-as-fed-signals-coming-rate-cuts.md) | +1.7% | +1.4% |

## Sources

- fxstreet.com: https://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/eur-usd-forecast-advances-on-weak-us-data-dovish-fed-rate-cut-outlook-202511251433

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.