# USDA lowers global oilseed production forecast, including soybeans, but quotes are falling

> USDA's November world oilseed balance cut 2025/26 global oilseed production by 3.54 million tonnes to 688 million tonnes. Soybean output was reduced by 4.1 million tonnes on lower US, Ukrainian and Indian crops, while rapeseed output rose.

- Date: 2025-11-17 · published 2025-11-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22064-usda-lowers-global-oilseed-production-forecast-including-soybeans-but-quotes
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller soybean crop tightens supply and supports soybean and meal prices, though falling quotes show the market is weighing other bearish factors. Lower soybean stocks point to firmer oilseed fundamentals.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2023-03-20 | [USDA lowers global oilseed production forecast due to plunging…](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36974-usda-lowers-global-oilseed-production-forecast-due-to-plunging.md) | -3.3% | +2.7% |
| SOY | 2025-08-13 | [Global oilseeds production forecast lowered on multiple crop declines \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23433-global-oilseeds-production-forecast-lowered-on-multiple-crop-declines-feed-and.md) | +0.1% | -0.6% |
| SOY | 2025-01-14 | [US soybean production drops, global oilseed crush rises in 2024/25 \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26590-us-soybean-production-drops-global-oilseed-crush-rises-in-2024-25-feed-and-grain.md) | +2.5% | +0.2% |
| SOY | 2020-10-09 | [USDA Lowers Soybean Ending Stocks, Trims Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50595-usda-lowers-soybean-ending-stocks-trims-production.md) | +1.2% | +4.9% |
| SOY | 2024-11-11 | [Global soybean market faces challenges amid oilseed production decline \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27430-global-soybean-market-faces-challenges-amid-oilseed-production-decline-feed-and.md) | -1.8% | -2.6% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/usda-lowers-global-oilseed-production-forecast-including-soybeans-but-quotes-are-falling/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.