# Malaysia Forecasts Palm Oil at $1,082 a Ton on Supply Squeeze - Ecofin Agency

> The Malaysian Palm Oil Council forecasts benchmark palm oil rising to 4,500 ringgit per tonne by year-end, with a lower-end case of 4,100 to 4,200 ringgit. The council cites Chinese and Ramadan demand, monsoon harvest disruption and Indonesia's B50 plan reducing exports.

- Date: 2025-11-22 · published 2025-11-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region Malaysia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22052-malaysia-forecasts-palm-oil-at-1-082-a-ton-on-supply-squeeze-ecofin-agency
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Seasonal output decline and monsoon disruption combined with Indonesian biodiesel demand would tighten palm supplies, supporting prices for buyers of palm-based feed fats.

## Read by commodity

- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2018-03-31 | [Export tax freeze to support Malaysian palm oil industry \| Borneo Post Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65878-export-tax-freeze-to-support-malaysian-palm-oil-industry-borneo-post-online.md) | +3.4% | -0.1% |
| PALMOIL | 2024-04-23 | [Malaysia kept export duty on crude palm oil at 8% in May](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15652-malaysia-kept-export-duty-on-crude-palm-oil-at-8-in-may.md) | -0.1% | -4.7% |
| PALMOIL | 2018-02-12 | [Export tax freeze to support Malaysian palm oil industry - Oxford Business Group](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66368-export-tax-freeze-to-support-malaysian-palm-oil-industry-oxford-business-group.md) | +0.5% | -3.5% |
| PALMOIL | 2021-09-20 | [Malaysia keeps Oct crude palm oil export tax at 8%](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44940-malaysia-keeps-oct-crude-palm-oil-export-tax-at-8.md) | +1.0% | +12.6% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-08-13 | [Policy Watch: B50 Rollout and Malaysia's September Duty Signal Tighter Supply \| Palm Oil Economics](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15444-policy-watch-b50-rollout-and-malaysia-s-september-duty-signal-tighter-supply.md) | +1.4% | +6.0% |

## Sources

- ecofinagency.com: https://www.ecofinagency.com/news/2211-50722-malaysia-forecasts-palm-oil-at-1-082-a-ton-on-supply-squeeze

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.