# China-US Diplomacy Distracts, RVO Shakes Soybean Markets | CZ app

> Cash crude soybean oil prices at an Indiana plant have fallen well below futures, with a negative basis widening to 5 cents per pound. The article says the June 13 expansion of the Renewable Volume Obligation sent December soyoil futures limit up, but oversupply and EPA skepticism have since weakened cash prices.

- Date: 2025-11-05 · published 2025-11-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22040-china-us-diplomacy-distracts-rvo-shakes-soybean-markets-cz-app
- Commodities: [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A wide negative basis signals weak physical demand for soyoil, which limits gains for US soybean processing margins and farm-level soybean returns despite strong futures.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2024-03-25 | [EPA RFS waivers may wither US soybean demand \| Latest Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15230-epa-rfs-waivers-may-wither-us-soybean-demand-latest-market-news.md) | +0.6% | -4.4% |
| SBO | 2023-06-22 | [Palm extends losses over soybean oil and lower US biofuel mandate - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35581-palm-extends-losses-over-soybean-oil-and-lower-us-biofuel-mandate-markets.md) | +1.7% | +10.0% |
| SBO | 2019-08-12 | [More Waivers, More Woes for Struggling Soy Markets - American Soybean Association](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57451-more-waivers-more-woes-for-struggling-soy-markets-american-soybean-association.md) | -1.3% | -4.2% |
| SBO | 2026-10-14 | [Has Biofuel Demand Replaced Export Demand in U.S. Soybean Markets? - American Soybean Association](https://feedsoft.ai/events/506-has-biofuel-demand-replaced-export-demand-in-u-s-soybean-markets-american.md) | +2.4% | — |
| SBO | 2026-01-16 | [US soybean oil prices stall amid biofuel policy, 45Z uncertainty: 2026 preview - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15055-us-soybean-oil-prices-stall-amid-biofuel-policy-45z-uncertainty-2026-preview.md) | +1.3% | +6.8% |
| SOY | 2023-04-10 | [China makes an effort to reduce soybean imports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36361-china-makes-an-effort-to-reduce-soybean-imports.md) | +0.5% | -1.6% |
| SOY | 2019-11-20 | [A trade deal with China could end up hurting the U.S. soybean market -Braun](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55913-a-trade-deal-with-china-could-end-up-hurting-the-u-s-soybean-market-braun.md) | -3.0% | +1.9% |
| SOY | 2018-05-11 | [China looking to rely less on US for soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64916-china-looking-to-rely-less-on-us-for-soybeans.md) | -1.8% | -4.3% |

## Sources

- czapp.com: https://www.czapp.com/analyst-insights/china-us-diplomacy-distracts-rvo-shakes-soybean-markets/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.