# Thai rice sector in crisis as yields fall, costs rise and export prices hit 15-year low

> Thailand's rice sector faces a crisis as yields per rai decline, production costs rise and domestic paddy prices fall below 8,000 baht per tonne, with export prices at their lowest in over 15 years. Analysts blame decades of populist subsidy programmes for hindering productivity upgrades.

- Date: 2025-11-14 · published 2025-11-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Thailand · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22034-thai-rice-sector-in-crisis-as-yields-fall-costs-rise-and-export-prices-hit-15
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Structural cost and yield problems in Thailand may reduce long-run export competitiveness, but near-term supply is not sharply affected. Low export prices keep Thai rice cheap for feed and food buyers.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2017-03-30 | [Rise prices rise in India, Thailand on stronger currencies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72059-rise-prices-rise-in-india-thailand-on-stronger-currencies.md) | +3.1% | -7.4% |
| RICE | 2025-08-21 | [Japan core inflation dips to lowest since March as rice prices cool](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11824-japan-core-inflation-dips-to-lowest-since-march-as-rice-prices-cool.md) | -4.4% | -4.4% |
| RICE | 2016-08-14 | [Global prices, bumper crop, monsoon bring relief: Farm clouds begin to clear](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9954-global-prices-bumper-crop-monsoon-bring-relief-farm-clouds-begin-to-clear.md) | +6.2% | -1.6% |
| RICE | 2024-07-19 | [Commodity prices falling for very different reasons - PricePedia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4977-commodity-prices-falling-for-very-different-reasons-pricepedia.md) | +5.0% | +2.9% |

## Sources

- nationthailand.com: https://www.nationthailand.com/business/economy/40058216

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.