# Surging wheat output weighing on prices | World Grain

> Global wheat prices have softened in recent weeks as production recovers worldwide. The IGC puts the 2025-26 world wheat crop at a record 819 million tonnes, and the FAO reports wheat prices fell for a third straight month in September. Large harvests in Russia, the EU and North America are confirmed.

- Date: 2025-11-11 · published 2025-11-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21998-surging-wheat-output-weighing-on-prices-world-grain
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Record world output and ample exporter stocks keep wheat prices under pressure, which favors cheaper feed wheat for buyers. Any rebound will need a demand shift, such as stronger Asian imports.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- KWHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-28 | [Australian wheat output revised higher \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18304-australian-wheat-output-revised-higher-world-grain.md) | -1.0% | +2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-08-21 | [IGC sees corn output spiking on increased US production \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23356-igc-sees-corn-output-spiking-on-increased-us-production-world-grain.md) | -2.0% | -3.2% |
| WHEAT | 2019-03-04 | [Australia’s 2019-20 wheat output forecast higher \| 2019-03-04  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60036-australia-s-2019-20-wheat-output-forecast-higher-2019-03-04-world-grain.md) | +0.7% | +5.2% |
| WHEAT | 2018-08-30 | [Wheat Prices Rising On Global Supply Issues](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63586-wheat-prices-rising-on-global-supply-issues.md) | +4.7% | -1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2019-09-20 | [Coceral sees higher E.U. grain output \| 2019-09-20  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57023-coceral-sees-higher-e-u-grain-output-2019-09-20-world-grain.md) | +2.5% | +3.3% |
| KWHEAT | 2019-03-04 | [Australia’s 2019-20 wheat output forecast higher \| 2019-03-04  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60036-australia-s-2019-20-wheat-output-forecast-higher-2019-03-04-world-grain.md) | -3.6% | -2.4% |
| KWHEAT | 2025-08-22 | [Grain market review: Wheat \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23378-grain-market-review-wheat-world-grain.md) | -3.3% | +0.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-01-15 | [USDA raises projections for US, global wheat ending stocks \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21103-usda-raises-projections-for-us-global-wheat-ending-stocks-world-grain.md) | +0.7% | +6.1% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/22070-surging-wheat-output-weighing-on-prices

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.