# Another robust harvest ahead, but prices fail to keep pace – Rabobank 2025/26 Australian winter crop forecast

> Rabobank forecasts Australia's 2025/26 winter grain and oilseed crop at 62.8 million tonnes, up 6.4% from last season and 6.1% above the five-year average. Above-average rainfall in Western Australia and northern New South Wales supports higher wheat, canola and barley output. Rabobank warns that global grain supply is surging, pressuring prices.

- Date: 2025-11-09 · published 2025-11-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21923-another-robust-harvest-ahead-but-prices-fail-to-keep-pace-rabobank-2025-26
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A larger Australian crop plus rising global supply signals weaker export prices for Australian wheat and barley in the coming season.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-20 | [Another robust harvest ahead, but prices fail to keep pace – Rabobank 2025/26 Australian winter crop forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22350-another-robust-harvest-ahead-but-prices-fail-to-keep-pace-rabobank-2025-26.md) | +0.7% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-13 | [Australia’s winter harvest forecast ‘large but lower’ – Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17071-australia-s-winter-harvest-forecast-large-but-lower-rabobank.md) | -0.4% | — |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-10 | [Australian winter crops forecast to increase by 9% in 2024/25 \| Farm Weekly \| WA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29199-australian-winter-crops-forecast-to-increase-by-9-in-2024-25-farm-weekly-wa.md) | -4.1% | -2.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-02 | [Australia's 2025-26 Winter Crop Forecast: Near-Record Harvest of 66.3 Million Tonnes \| ABARES - News and Statistics - IndexBox](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21472-australia-s-2025-26-winter-crop-forecast-near-record-harvest-of-66-3-million.md) | -1.2% | -1.1% |
| WHEAT | 2021-09-08 | [Australia to harvest another bumper wheat crop 08.09.2021 - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45033-australia-to-harvest-another-bumper-wheat-crop-08-09-2021-ukragroconsult.md) | +2.2% | +5.0% |

## Sources

- sfs.org.au: https://sfs.org.au/article/another-robust-harvest-ahead-but-prices-fail-to-keep-pace-rabobank-2025-26-australian-winter-crop-forecast-2

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.