# In the beef market, the higher the peak, the deeper the valley | The National Provisioner

> An analysis says fed cattle futures for April 2026 have fallen 17% and feeder cattle futures have fallen 21% since September, after record highs. The decline follows tariff reductions, including beef being excluded from reciprocal and Brazil tariffs, and packers gaining leverage over feedlots.

- Date: 2025-11-25 · published 2025-11-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21905-in-the-beef-market-the-higher-the-peak-the-deeper-the-valley-the-national
- Commodities: [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md), [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

Lower tariffs on imported beef increase supply options and reduce the premium for domestic cattle, pressuring feeder and live cattle prices.

## Read by commodity

- FCATTLE: bearish ▼
- LCATTLE: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FCATTLE | 2025-11-25 | 5 | -9.9% | -6.0 | Analysis of the feeder futures decline, citing tariff cuts and packer leverage over feedlots. |
| LCATTLE | 2025-11-25 | 5 | -4.7% | -3.4 | Notes deep declines in fed and feeder futures after tariff cuts and increased packer leverage. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FCATTLE | 2019-06-06 | [Ranchers In The U.S. And Mexico Hope Tariffs Don't Get In The Way Of Beef Market : NPR](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58565-ranchers-in-the-u-s-and-mexico-hope-tariffs-don-t-get-in-the-way-of-beef-market.md) | -1.2% | -2.1% |
| FCATTLE | 2024-11-06 | [Factors Influencing Cattle Market Performance and Price Trends - Beef Web](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27542-factors-influencing-cattle-market-performance-and-price-trends-beef-web.md) | +0.3% | +4.4% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-11-03 | [Feeder market softens as demand for cattle weakens \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7820-feeder-market-softens-as-demand-for-cattle-weakens-the-western-producer.md) | -3.7% | -5.3% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-11-07 | [Beef Market Update: Political noise and import talk weigh on cattle prices - RealAgriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8354-beef-market-update-political-noise-and-import-talk-weigh-on-cattle-prices.md) | +4.6% | +5.3% |
| FCATTLE | 2016-06-18 | [Beef producers will need to watch costs with market downturn – Wyoming Livestock Roundup](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9297-beef-producers-will-need-to-watch-costs-with-market-downturn-wyoming-livestock.md) | +1.5% | +2.7% |
| LCATTLE | 2019-06-06 | [Ranchers In The U.S. And Mexico Hope Tariffs Don't Get In The Way Of Beef Market : NPR](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58565-ranchers-in-the-u-s-and-mexico-hope-tariffs-don-t-get-in-the-way-of-beef-market.md) | -0.0% | -3.5% |
| LCATTLE | 2020-08-09 | [PULSE: Watch for competition in key beef markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51581-pulse-watch-for-competition-in-key-beef-markets.md) | +3.7% | +4.0% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-04-03 | [Beefed-up tariffs leave global protein markets in a stew](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25246-beefed-up-tariffs-leave-global-protein-markets-in-a-stew.md) | -2.0% | +0.8% |

## Sources

- provisioneronline.com: https://www.provisioneronline.com/articles/119773-in-the-beef-market-the-higher-the-peak-the-deeper-the-valley

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.