# Dollar Tumbles and Gold Rallies on Improved Fed Rate Cut Chances

> The dollar index fell 0.44% on Tuesday after weaker-than-expected September retail sales, core PPI and weekly ADP data. The Conference Board's November consumer confidence index also fell to a seven-month low, and markets priced an 80% chance of a December Fed cut.

- Date: 2025-11-25 · published 2025-11-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21880-dollar-tumbles-and-gold-rallies-on-improved-fed-rate-cut-chances
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

Softer US data and lower Treasury yields narrow rate differentials and weaken the dollar, which supports dollar-priced commodities. Stronger demand from a rate cut would also help commodity prices.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2025-11-28 | [Dollar Finishes Lower and Gold Rallies on Fed Rate Cut Expectations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21879-dollar-finishes-lower-and-gold-rallies-on-fed-rate-cut-expectations.md) | -0.5% | -1.5% |
| DXY | 2024-08-01 | [Gold extends record rally on Fed rate-cut bets, softer dollar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29144-gold-extends-record-rally-on-fed-rate-cut-bets-softer-dollar.md) | -0.1% | -1.4% |
| DXY | 2024-11-07 | [Gold holds firm after US Fed rate cut, softer dollar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27332-gold-holds-firm-after-us-fed-rate-cut-softer-dollar.md) | +1.0% | +0.8% |
| DXY | 2024-08-16 | [Gold rallies to record high on softer dollar, rate-cut expectations \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28697-gold-rallies-to-record-high-on-softer-dollar-rate-cut-expectations-reuters.md) | -0.2% | -0.8% |
| DXY | 2019-01-11 | [Gold shines on weak dollar, Fed chief's dovish tone on rate hike](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61008-gold-shines-on-weak-dollar-fed-chief-s-dovish-tone-on-rate-hike.md) | +0.4% | +0.9% |

## Sources

- barchart.com: https://www.barchart.com/story/news/36312773/dollar-tumbles-and-gold-rallies-on-improved-fed-rate-cut-chances

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.