# Global Seasonal Climate Update for December-January-February 2025/2026

> The WMO outlook for December 2025 to February 2026 expects a weak La Niña, with Niño 3.4 and Niño 3 sea-surface temperatures forecast to decline. The Indian Ocean Dipole is projected to move toward neutral.

- Date: 2025-11-21 · published 2025-11-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21853-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-december-january-february-2025-2026
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A weak La Niña typically brings drier risk to Argentina and southern Brazil and wetter conditions to Southeast Asia and Australia, which can tighten soy, corn and palm oil supply expectations. The impact on prices is gradual and mostly a risk premium.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-10-21 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for November-December-January 2025-2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22313-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-november-december-january-2025-2026.md) | +3.4% | +12.2% |
| SOY | 2025-09-22 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22791-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2025.md) | -1.1% | -0.6% |
| SOY | 2024-09-27 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28231-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2024.md) | +0.5% | -4.3% |
| SOY | 2025-08-25 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for September-October-November 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23241-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-september-october-november-2025.md) | +0.0% | -2.5% |
| SOY | 2026-09-02 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update - Target season: September-October-November 2026 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17394-global-seasonal-climate-update-target-season-september-october-november-2026.md) | -0.9% | -1.1% |
| CORN | 2025-10-21 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for November-December-January 2025-2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22313-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-november-december-january-2025-2026.md) | +1.0% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2025-09-22 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22791-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2025.md) | -0.4% | -1.1% |
| CORN | 2024-09-27 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28231-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2024.md) | +2.2% | +1.0% |

## Sources

- wmo.int: https://wmo.int/media/update/global-seasonal-climate-update-december-january-february-20252026

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.