# Real slides on election fears, seasonal dollar outflows

> The real fell sharply to R$5.58 per dollar, approaching R$5.60, driven by seasonal year-end dividend remittances and investor caution over Flávio Bolsonaro's presidential bid. The Central Bank announced up to $2 billion in repurchase line auctions after markets closed.

- Date: 2025-12-23 · published 2025-12-23T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21717-real-slides-on-election-fears-seasonal-dollar-outflows
- Commodities: [Brazilian Real (BRL per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDBRL.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A weaker real makes Brazilian soybean, corn and meal exports cheaper in dollar terms, which can pressure world prices and pull farm-gate selling forward. Central Bank intervention may limit the move, so the effect on feed commodity prices is likely modest.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- USDBRL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| USDBRL | 2024-05-14 | [Brazil sees second-largest dollar outflow ever](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30477-brazil-sees-second-largest-dollar-outflow-ever.md) | -1.2% | +3.7% |
| USDBRL | 2026-10-26 | [Euro falls against dollar; Brazilian real tumbles after Lula election win](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17282-euro-falls-against-dollar-brazilian-real-tumbles-after-lula-election-win.md) | +7.6% | — |
| USDBRL | 2021-10-19 | [Brazil's real slumps on fiscal concerns, Petrobras slides](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44780-brazil-s-real-slumps-on-fiscal-concerns-petrobras-slides.md) | +1.4% | -0.4% |
| USDBRL | 2018-05-15 | [Brazil's real continues its slump amid election uncertainty \| AP News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65228-brazil-s-real-continues-its-slump-amid-election-uncertainty-ap-news.md) | +2.4% | +1.5% |
| USDBRL | 2019-06-27 | [Brazilian real falls on economy worries, dollar lifts other Latam forex - Pension Policy International](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58796-brazilian-real-falls-on-economy-worries-dollar-lifts-other-latam-forex-pension.md) | +0.2% | -1.2% |
| SOY | 2022-09-27 | [Dollar rally, recession fears wreak havoc on commodities](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11908-dollar-rally-recession-fears-wreak-havoc-on-commodities.md) | -2.6% | -2.8% |
| SOY | 2023-11-03 | [FX: Dollar to defy seasonal trends \| articles \| ING THINK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11460-fx-dollar-to-defy-seasonal-trends-articles-ing-think.md) | +1.8% | +1.6% |
| SOY | 2021-06-17 | [Dollar surges to two-month high on Fed rate-hike projection](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5930-dollar-surges-to-two-month-high-on-fed-rate-hike-projection.md) | -4.4% | -0.1% |

## Sources

- valorinternational.globo.com: https://valorinternational.globo.com/markets/news/2025/12/23/real-slides-on-election-fears-and-seasonal-dollar-outflows.ghtml

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.