# Palm Oil Enters 2026 with Caution as Weather Risks Weigh on Output – MPOC

> Malaysia's palm oil industry enters 2026 with firmer footing but rising exposure to price swings, trade rule changes and climate risks. MPOB director general Ahmad Parveez Ghulam Kadir said the board is cautiously positive on 2026 output, while weather remains a key variable. He also flagged that replanting may temporarily constrain production.

- Date: 2025-12-31 · published 2025-12-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Malaysia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21607-palm-oil-enters-2026-with-caution-as-weather-risks-weigh-on-output-mpoc
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Weather-driven yield risk and replanting-related output limits could tighten palm supply and support prices. Buyers should watch whether these risks materialise in monthly MPOB data.

## Read by commodity

- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2026-10-08 | [Palm Oil Traders Eye Price Rally as Weather and Policy Risks Tighten Supply Outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17176-palm-oil-traders-eye-price-rally-as-weather-and-policy-risks-tighten-supply.md) | +0.5% | -0.2% |
| PALMOIL | 2023-09-29 | [Indonesian Palm Oil Association sees palm oil prices rising in 2024 as El Nino crimps domestic output](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34219-indonesian-palm-oil-association-sees-palm-oil-prices-rising-in-2024-as-el-nino.md) | -4.5% | -3.5% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-04-29 | [Indonesia 2026 crude palm oil output to fall due to El Nino, high fertiliser prices, association says \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19818-indonesia-2026-crude-palm-oil-output-to-fall-due-to-el-nino-high-fertiliser.md) | +2.8% | -1.1% |
| PALMOIL | 2017-07-21 | [Palm oil demand up as dry U.S. weather seen hurting rival soy crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70055-palm-oil-demand-up-as-dry-u-s-weather-seen-hurting-rival-soy-crops.md) | +0.8% | +3.5% |
| PALMOIL | 2023-11-23 | [El Nino poses risk to 2024 palm oil output in Indonesia, Malaysia - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33277-el-nino-poses-risk-to-2024-palm-oil-output-in-indonesia-malaysia-the.md) | -0.7% | -3.3% |

## Sources

- mpoc.org.my: https://www.mpoc.org.my/palm-oil-enters-2026-with-caution-as-weather-risks-weigh-on-output/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.