# USDA sharply raises global barley production forecast, putting pressure on prices

> USDA's December report raised its 2025/26 global barley production forecast by 3.12 million tons to 152.94 million tons. Increases were concentrated in the EU, Canada, Australia and Russia. The report also raised global wheat production by 8.92 million tons.

- Date: 2025-12-11 · published 2025-12-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21574-usda-sharply-raises-global-barley-production-forecast-putting-pressure-on-prices
- Commodities: [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A larger world barley and wheat crop adds supply and pressures feed grain prices. Ukraine's barley forecast was unchanged, so the increase is concentrated in other exporters.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2022-12-12 | [Wheat prices fall despite a downgrade in the USDA’s global production forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5522-wheat-prices-fall-despite-a-downgrade-in-the-usda-s-global-production-forecast.md) | +10.5% | +5.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-30 | [Wheat Falling as USDA Raises Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22925-wheat-falling-as-usda-raises-production.md) | +0.4% | +5.9% |
| WHEAT | 2026-01-16 | [Global wheat and barley production holds back UK prices — Hectare Trading \| The online marketplace for crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21121-global-wheat-and-barley-production-holds-back-uk-prices-hectare-trading-the.md) | -0.5% | +4.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-01-15 | [USDA raises projections for US, global wheat ending stocks \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21103-usda-raises-projections-for-us-global-wheat-ending-stocks-world-grain.md) | -1.3% | +2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2017-09-13 | [France raises again its forecast for soft wheat production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68911-france-raises-again-its-forecast-for-soft-wheat-production.md) | +0.7% | +4.1% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/usda-sharply-raises-global-barley-production-forecast-putting-pressure-on-prices/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.