# Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit | Estimated financial losses faced…

> The Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit estimates UK farmers face about £828m in lost revenue from the record hot, dry 2025 spring and summer affecting wheat, barley, oats and oilseed rape. The estimate is about 20% below the 10-year average revenue at current ex-farm prices.

- Date: 2025-12-02 · published 2025-12-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region UK · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21559-energy-and-climate-intelligence-unit-estimated-financial-losses-faced
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced UK arable output tightens domestic feed and milling supplies, which supports UK cereal prices and raises import needs.

## Read by commodity

- OATS: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-02-16 | [In Argentina's drought-hit fields, billion dollar losses and farmers going under](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13981-in-argentina-s-drought-hit-fields-billion-dollar-losses-and-farmers-going-under.md) | -1.3% | -6.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-07-10 | [Climate Prediction Center sees 56% chance of ENSO neutral conditions in August-October](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23660-climate-prediction-center-sees-56-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-in-august.md) | -1.8% | -2.2% |
| WHEAT | 2022-08-30 | [UPDATE 1-Agritel ups French wheat crop estimate, sees maize at 21st-century low](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39986-update-1-agritel-ups-french-wheat-crop-estimate-sees-maize-at-21st-century-low.md) | -2.3% | +2.6% |
| WHEAT | 2021-07-28 | [Wheat climbs on signs of drought damage in northern U.S. Plains \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46100-wheat-climbs-on-signs-of-drought-damage-in-northern-u-s-plains-financial-post.md) | +2.7% | +3.0% |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-22 | [Mixed end to season informs Rabo crop estimates - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27829-mixed-end-to-season-informs-rabo-crop-estimates-grain-central.md) | +0.1% | -1.4% |
| OATS | 2023-07-31 | [Estimated Crop Yields for Alberta Versus Final Estimates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35098-estimated-crop-yields-for-alberta-versus-final-estimates.md) | -1.2% | +12.6% |
| OATS | 2021-10-25 | [Cereal and Oat Milk Makers Feel the Crunch From Oats Shortage - Gro Intelligence \| Borostos](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44608-cereal-and-oat-milk-makers-feel-the-crunch-from-oats-shortage-gro-intelligence.md) | +9.4% | +14.6% |
| OATS | 2026-07-30 | [Heatwaves have taken 9 million tons of cereals from Europe. The losses amount to 2 billion euros.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18400-heatwaves-have-taken-9-million-tons-of-cereals-from-europe-the-losses-amount-to.md) | +1.4% | +3.9% |

## Sources

- eciu.net: https://eciu.net/analysis/reports/2025/estimated-financial-losses-faced-by-uk-farmers-due-dry-weather-impacts-on-key-arable-crops

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.