# Australia's 2025-26 Winter Crop Forecast: Near-Record Harvest of 66.3 Million Tonnes | ABARES - News and Statistics - IndexBox

> IndexBox summarises the December ABARES report, which forecasts Australia's winter crop at 66.3 million tonnes, 10% above last year and the second highest on record. Wheat is seen at 35.6 million tonnes and barley at a record 15.7 million tonnes. Canola is forecast at 7.2 million tonnes, and planted winter crop area is 25.1 million hectares.

- Date: 2025-12-02 · published 2025-12-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21472-australia-s-2025-26-winter-crop-forecast-near-record-harvest-of-66-3-million
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A record barley crop and a large wheat harvest add to exportable supply for Asian feed buyers. This weighs on wheat and barley prices through the 2025/26 marketing year.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2017-02-14 | [Australia's winter grain crop officially a record at 59 million tonnes - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72461-australia-s-winter-grain-crop-officially-a-record-at-59-million-tonnes-abc-news.md) | -0.8% | -1.2% |
| WHEAT | 2019-06-11 | [Australia's winter crop forecast to jump 20 per cent says national forecaster ABARES - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58544-australia-s-winter-crop-forecast-to-jump-20-per-cent-says-national-forecaster.md) | -4.7% | -8.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-02-06 | [Australia harvested 2 million tons of wheat more than forecast in 2024/25 MY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26019-australia-harvested-2-million-tons-of-wheat-more-than-forecast-in-2024-25-my.md) | -0.7% | -3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2021-02-15 | [Winter harvest near record, summer crop on the improve: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48595-winter-harvest-near-record-summer-crop-on-the-improve-abares-grain-central.md) | +9.4% | +9.0% |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-20 | [Australia’s wheat harvest forecast raised to near-record level](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22354-australia-s-wheat-harvest-forecast-raised-to-near-record-level.md) | +0.7% | -2.8% |

## Sources

- indexbox.io: https://www.indexbox.io/blog/australias-2025-26-winter-crop-forecast-663-million-tonnes-second-highest-on-record/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.