# Australian production estimates pressure markets: Grain market daily | AHDB

> UK feed wheat futures for May-26 fell £0.45 a tonne to £171.25, and Chicago wheat was marginally pressured. Traders focused on upward revisions to Australian production from ABARES, with wheat at 35.6 million tonnes and barley at 15.7 million tonnes. Paris rapeseed also fell on canola revisions and weak Chicago soybeans.

- Date: 2025-12-02 · published 2025-12-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21471-australian-production-estimates-pressure-markets-grain-market-daily-ahdb
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Larger Australian wheat, barley and canola crops increase global supply and pressure European and Black Sea-linked feed grain and oilseed prices. The rapeseed decline reflects the same supply pressure.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- CANMEAL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-09-03 | [Australian production estimates rising: ABARES - MarketsFarm](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28284-australian-production-estimates-rising-abares-marketsfarm.md) | +1.6% | +11.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-21 | [Global grain production to rise in 2025/26: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25624-global-grain-production-to-rise-in-2025-26-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -1.2% | -1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2023-12-05 | [Canadian and Australian crops increased: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32776-canadian-and-australian-crops-increased-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -3.3% | +2.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-01 | [ABARES lifts production estimates for major crops - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22821-abares-lifts-production-estimates-for-major-crops-grain-central.md) | -0.6% | -1.2% |
| WHEAT | 2023-01-12 | [GB animal feed production at 6-year low from July to November: Grain market daily  \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37855-gb-animal-feed-production-at-6-year-low-from-july-to-november-grain-market.md) | -0.6% | +2.0% |
| SOY | 2024-08-13 | [USDA forecasts record US soybean production and higher stocks, above market estimates - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10464-usda-forecasts-record-us-soybean-production-and-higher-stocks-above-market.md) | -5.5% | -3.4% |
| SOY | 2025-09-12 | [USDA Ups Corn and Soybean Production Estimates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22795-usda-ups-corn-and-soybean-production-estimates.md) | +2.2% | +0.7% |
| SOY | 2019-05-12 | [Daily Market Wire 13 May 2019 - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5739-daily-market-wire-13-may-2019-grain-central.md) | +3.1% | +7.7% |

## Sources

- ahdb.org.uk: https://ahdb.org.uk/news/australian-production-estimates-pressure-markets-grain-market-daily

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.