# Informist Media - Wheat prices may fall below MSP as 2025-26 output seen up 5 mln tn

> Industry participants expect India's 2025-26 wheat output to rise by at least 5 million tonnes to over 122 million tonnes, versus 117.5 million last year. Traders warn that prices could fall below the INR 2,425 per 100 kg minimum support price, and that the government may need to boost procurement or open exports. Indore prices are currently around INR 2,725.

- Date: 2025-12-18 · published 2025-12-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region India · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21462-informist-media-wheat-prices-may-fall-below-msp-as-2025-26-output-seen-up-5-mln
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Higher output with large carryover stocks and subdued mill demand points to lower Indian wheat prices and a possible glut that could ease global wheat supply.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2017-08-01 | [Wheat Prices Fall as Drought Worsens](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7130-wheat-prices-fall-as-drought-worsens.md) | -3.6% | -4.9% |
| WHEAT | 2025-04-28 | [Global wheat market: Wheat prices fall as weather improves in the northern hemisphere](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25164-global-wheat-market-wheat-prices-fall-as-weather-improves-in-the-northern.md) | -0.9% | -4.3% |
| WHEAT | 2017-10-02 | [Wheat hits 1-wk low on higher US output, soybean prices ease](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7537-wheat-hits-1-wk-low-on-higher-us-output-soybean-prices-ease.md) | +6.0% | +10.8% |
| WHEAT | 2024-12-18 | [COMMODITIES 2025: Australia to see jump in wheat output but quality concerns remain \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26922-commodities-2025-australia-to-see-jump-in-wheat-output-but-quality-concerns.md) | +1.4% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-25 | [Wheat prices fall amid increased rainfall in the US, Ukraine and Russia, which increases pressure on prices in Ukraine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25622-wheat-prices-fall-amid-increased-rainfall-in-the-us-ukraine-and-russia-which.md) | -1.9% | +1.7% |

## Sources

- informistmedia.com: https://informistmedia.com/CommodityWire/41122/Wheat-prices-may-fall-below-MSP-as-2025-26-output-seen-up-5-mln-tn

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.