# Canola carryout problem requires policy changes | The Western Producer

> An analyst expects a burdensome canola carryout in 2025-26 unless China eases tariffs or the US changes biofuel feedstock import rules. He forecasts canola exports of 6.6 million tonnes, down from 9.3 million last year, after a record 21.8 million tonne crop.

- Date: 2025-12-15 · published 2025-12-15T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Canada · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21447-canola-carryout-problem-requires-policy-changes-the-western-producer
- Commodities: [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

Heavy supplies and reduced export outlets point to lower canola prices and more meal and oil pushed into domestic crush, pressuring the complex.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: neutral
- CANMEAL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2023-03-23 | [High prices keep Canadian canola out of European Union \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36960-high-prices-keep-canadian-canola-out-of-european-union-the-western-producer.md) | -1.7% | -3.7% |
| SBO | 2023-09-28 | [Chinese canola purchases surpass USDA expectations \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34059-chinese-canola-purchases-surpass-usda-expectations-the-western-producer.md) | +0.4% | -7.1% |
| SBO | 2023-09-22 | [Chinese canola purchases surpass USDA expectations \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34057-chinese-canola-purchases-surpass-usda-expectations-the-western-producer.md) | -2.5% | -5.2% |
| SBO | 2023-06-08 | [Emerging canola processing at home will affect exports \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35462-emerging-canola-processing-at-home-will-affect-exports-the-western-producer.md) | +9.0% | +25.4% |
| SBO | 2023-06-01 | [Emerging canola processing at home will affect exports \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35458-emerging-canola-processing-at-home-will-affect-exports-the-western-producer.md) | +4.8% | +21.3% |

## Sources

- producer.com: https://www.producer.com/crops/canola-carryout-problem-requires-policy-changes/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.