# La Niña to fade early next year, neutral Pacific conditions likely, U.S. forecasters say - AgCanada

> The US Climate Prediction Center says La Niña will linger one to two months before likely giving way to neutral conditions in January to March 2026, with a 68% probability. AccuWeather notes excess rain in southern Brazil but does not foresee widespread major drought across global croplands.

- Date: 2025-12-11 · published 2025-12-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21415-la-nina-to-fade-early-next-year-neutral-pacific-conditions-likely-u-s
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Limited expected drought risk across major croplands reduces the supply-risk premium on soybeans and corn, a mild bearish factor for feed grain prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2024-08-08 | [Sixty-six per cent chance of La Niña weather emerging, U.S. forecaster says - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28679-sixty-six-per-cent-chance-of-la-nina-weather-emerging-u-s-forecaster-says.md) | -4.0% | -1.2% |
| SOY | 2016-12-09 | [La Niña still present, with a transition to ENSO-neutral favoured during Jan-Mar 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73404-la-nina-still-present-with-a-transition-to-enso-neutral-favoured-during-jan-mar.md) | +0.2% | -3.0% |
| SOY | 2024-08-04 | [La Niña’s likely return will undo some of past year’s crop havoc - Moneyweb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28675-la-nina-s-likely-return-will-undo-some-of-past-year-s-crop-havoc-moneyweb.md) | -0.1% | -4.6% |
| SOY | 2024-01-18 | [U.S. grains: Soy, corn futures end higher after setting multi-year lows - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11443-u-s-grains-soy-corn-futures-end-higher-after-setting-multi-year-lows-agcanada.md) | +2.9% | -2.9% |
| SOY | 2026-01-08 | [US CPC sees 75% chance of La Nina transition by early 2026 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20952-us-cpc-sees-75-chance-of-la-nina-transition-by-early-2026-reuters.md) | -2.1% | +5.7% |
| CORN | 2024-08-08 | [Sixty-six per cent chance of La Niña weather emerging, U.S. forecaster says - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28679-sixty-six-per-cent-chance-of-la-nina-weather-emerging-u-s-forecaster-says.md) | -0.2% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2016-12-09 | [La Niña still present, with a transition to ENSO-neutral favoured during Jan-Mar 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73404-la-nina-still-present-with-a-transition-to-enso-neutral-favoured-during-jan-mar.md) | +2.4% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2024-08-04 | [La Niña’s likely return will undo some of past year’s crop havoc - Moneyweb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28675-la-nina-s-likely-return-will-undo-some-of-past-year-s-crop-havoc-moneyweb.md) | -1.7% | -1.5% |

## Sources

- agcanada.com: https://www.agcanada.com/daily/la-nia-to-fade-early-next-year-neutral-pacific-conditions-likely-u-s-forecasters-say

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.