# WMO Update predicts weak La Niña

> The WMO says there is a 55% chance of weak La Niña over the next three months, with borderline La Niña conditions established by mid-November. ENSO-neutral conditions are expected to return by early 2026, and El Niño is unlikely.

- Date: 2025-12-03 · published 2025-12-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21414-wmo-update-predicts-weak-la-nina
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Weak La Niña carries modest drought risk for South America and parts of the US plains, but the expected transition to neutral reduces the chance of significant crop losses that would support feed prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-04-02 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update – March 2018 \| La Niña Ready Nations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65446-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-march-2018-la-nina-ready-nations.md) | -1.1% | +0.0% |
| SOY | 2019-08-20 | [El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2019)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57495-el-nino-la-nina-update-august-2019.md) | -0.0% | +4.7% |
| SOY | 2023-02-01 | [January 2023 La Niña update, and the ENSO Blog investigates, part 2](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37699-january-2023-la-nina-update-and-the-enso-blog-investigates-part-2.md) | -1.5% | -2.2% |
| SOY | 2024-12-12 | [Weak, short-term La Niña expected to develop during winter - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26866-weak-short-term-la-nina-expected-to-develop-during-winter-pro-farmer.md) | -4.4% | +1.8% |
| SOY | 2021-05-07 | [Agri podcast: La Niña weakened over February and March \| OFM](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46987-agri-podcast-la-nina-weakened-over-february-and-march-ofm.md) | +0.4% | -1.4% |
| CORN | 2018-04-02 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update – March 2018 \| La Niña Ready Nations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65446-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-march-2018-la-nina-ready-nations.md) | +2.3% | +3.1% |
| CORN | 2019-08-20 | [El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2019)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57495-el-nino-la-nina-update-august-2019.md) | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| CORN | 2017-07-07 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update, 7 July 2017 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69875-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-7-july-2017-world-reliefweb.md) | -4.4% | -3.6% |

## Sources

- wmo.int: https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/wmo-update-predicts-weak-la-nina

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.