# Phosphate prices expected to remain elevated in 2026 - Brownfield Ag News

> Rabobank analyst Samuel Taylor says phosphate fertilizer prices will not fall in 2026. He points to Trump administration tariffs that have flattened DAP imports since Liberation Day, along with reduced Chinese phosphate exports and declining imports from Russia, Morocco and Saudi Arabia.

- Date: 2026-01-28 · published 2026-01-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21369-phosphate-prices-expected-to-remain-elevated-in-2026-brownfield-ag-news
- Commodities: [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md), [TSP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/TSP.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Tight phosphate supply and high DAP costs keep feed and crop input costs elevated for buyers. Tariffs and China's export limits support DAP prices through the spring buying season.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2025-05-02 | [Chinese phosphate exports down - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25009-chinese-phosphate-exports-down-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +0.4% | +4.8% |
| DAP | 2020-12-23 | [Ag Independence for America calls for level playing field in US phosphate market - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49973-ag-independence-for-america-calls-for-level-playing-field-in-us-phosphate.md) | +2.8% | +6.8% |
| DAP | 2024-08-07 | [Mosaic expects phosphate and potash demand to return in second half of 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28670-mosaic-expects-phosphate-and-potash-demand-to-return-in-second-half-of-2024.md) | +0.5% | +3.0% |
| DAP | 2022-10-05 | [Phosphate Exports in Morocco Rose by A Record 68% in 2022](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39464-phosphate-exports-in-morocco-rose-by-a-record-68-in-2022.md) | -1.7% | -6.2% |
| DAP | 2026-04-02 | [U.S. traders export phosphate as Iran war boosts prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9773-u-s-traders-export-phosphate-as-iran-war-boosts-prices.md) | +4.0% | +4.3% |

## Sources

- brownfieldagnews.com: https://brownfieldagnews.com/news/phosphate-prices-expected-to-remain-elevated-in-2026/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.