# Oil rises further as IEA predicts surplus in Q1 - The Nation Newspaper

> WTI rose more than 2% to about $60.8 per barrel on January 23, extending a fifth weekly gain on Iran and Kazakh supply concerns. The IEA projected a deep first-quarter 2026 surplus of 4.25 million bpd, while the dollar slid toward its worst week in seven months. Tengiz output had not yet resumed after a shutdown.

- Date: 2026-01-26 · published 2026-01-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21233-oil-rises-further-as-iea-predicts-surplus-in-q1-the-nation-newspaper
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

Supply outages support crude, but a large projected surplus caps gains, so energy input costs for feed producers are likely to stay moderate. A weaker dollar also supports crude demand from non-US buyers.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼
- WTI: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WTI | 2019-08-19 | [Oil rises as markets factor in latest attack on Saudi energy facility \| The National](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57774-oil-rises-as-markets-factor-in-latest-attack-on-saudi-energy-facility-the.md) | -1.3% | -0.1% |
| WTI | 2018-09-14 | [Oil prices rise ahead of deadline for US sanctions on Iran \| The National](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63206-oil-prices-rise-ahead-of-deadline-for-us-sanctions-on-iran-the-national.md) | +3.2% | +3.5% |
| WTI | 2026-10-28 | [Arab News \| Oil rises more than 1% as supply concerns persist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17239-arab-news-oil-rises-more-than-1-as-supply-concerns-persist.md) | -2.1% | — |
| WTI | 2022-05-05 | [Opec+ sticks to June output plan as oil prices continue to rise   \| The National](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41320-opec-sticks-to-june-output-plan-as-oil-prices-continue-to-rise-the-national.md) | -2.1% | +8.4% |
| WTI | 2024-12-03 | [Oil rises on fears about Lebanon, further OPEC+ supply cuts \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27114-oil-rises-on-fears-about-lebanon-further-opec-supply-cuts-reuters.md) | +0.4% | +5.8% |
| DXY | 2017-03-29 | [Arab News \| Oil prices rise with Libya disruption](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72158-arab-news-oil-prices-rise-with-libya-disruption.md) | +0.5% | +0.1% |
| DXY | 2022-07-29 | [OPEC+ meeting on Aug. 3: Oil prices rise on tight supply \| Stock Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40663-opec-meeting-on-aug-3-oil-prices-rise-on-tight-supply-stock-market-news.md) | -0.2% | +0.8% |
| DXY | 2022-03-09 | [Euro surges as oil prices ease and investors embrace risk](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9523-euro-surges-as-oil-prices-ease-and-investors-embrace-risk.md) | -0.3% | -1.6% |

## Sources

- thenationonlineng.net: https://thenationonlineng.net/oil-rises-further-as-iea-predicts-surplus-in-q1/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.