# Southern harvest sees yields up to 30pc better than expected | Farm Online | ACT

> Farmers in southern Australian states report yields up to a third above pre-harvest expectations, particularly in Victoria. The gains came despite a second consecutive year of below-average rainfall in parts of South Australia. The national winter crop is tracking close to the 66.3 million tonne forecast.

- Date: 2026-01-05 · published 2026-01-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/21022-southern-harvest-sees-yields-up-to-30pc-better-than-expected-farm-online-act
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Better-than-expected yields raise available Australian wheat and barley supply, which adds modest downward pressure on export prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2016-11-22 | [Crop expected to nudge 50mt \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73810-crop-expected-to-nudge-50mt-farm-online-act.md) | -2.8% | +0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2023-01-17 | [Big harvest figures despite weather woes \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37736-big-harvest-figures-despite-weather-woes-farm-online-act.md) | -3.8% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-06 | [East coast wet won't downgrade winter crop yield prospects says ABARES  \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40888-east-coast-wet-won-t-downgrade-winter-crop-yield-prospects-says-abares-farm.md) | +0.1% | -0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2020-10-13 | [Crop set to be one of the biggest on record as headers start to roll \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50602-crop-set-to-be-one-of-the-biggest-on-record-as-headers-start-to-roll-farm.md) | +1.8% | -0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-29 | [Bumper harvest in Queensland, NSW push national crop to average \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27831-bumper-harvest-in-queensland-nsw-push-national-crop-to-average-farm-online-act.md) | +0.3% | -1.5% |

## Sources

- farmonline.com.au: https://www.farmonline.com.au/story/9145794/southern-harvest-sees-yields-up-to-30pc-better-than-expected/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.