# Phosphate fertilizer prices expected to stay high in 2026 as China export limits persist - Brownfield Ag News

> StoneX's Josh Linville expects phosphate fertilizer prices to stay elevated through 2026 as China restricts exports. China reportedly plans to halt phosphate exports until August, and shipments may not resume until around October. Linville says the restriction removes the global leader from the export market.

- Date: 2026-01-06 · published 2026-01-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20977-phosphate-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-stay-high-in-2026-as-china-export
- Commodities: [TSP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/TSP.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Sustained phosphate costs raise input expenses for crop producers and may shift spring fertilizer decisions, with possible knock-on effects on crop acreage and grain prices.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- TSP: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2021-10-01 | [China expected to stop phosphate exports,  food production prices set to rise - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4698-china-expected-to-stop-phosphate-exports-food-production-prices-set-to-rise-abc.md) | +4.6% | +4.6% |
| DAP | 2025-10-13 | [Fertilizer prices rise amid China export limits](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22327-fertilizer-prices-rise-amid-china-export-limits.md) | -0.2% | -4.7% |
| DAP | 2026-10-21 | [China's phosphate rock market is affected by the ban on phosphate fertilizer exports, affecting both prices and supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/684-china-s-phosphate-rock-market-is-affected-by-the-ban-on-phosphate-fertilizer.md) | 0.0% | — |
| DAP | 2026-07-29 | [China extends phosphate export curbs through August 2026 as Russia holds fertilizer quotas](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18268-china-extends-phosphate-export-curbs-through-august-2026-as-russia-holds.md) | +1.6% | +1.6% |
| DAP | 2021-09-29 | [Fertiliser price hits 13-year high, China 'bans' phosphate exports, glyphosate prices surge \| Queensland Country Life \| QLD](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4697-fertiliser-price-hits-13-year-high-china-bans-phosphate-exports-glyphosate.md) | +5.2% | +5.7% |

## Sources

- brownfieldagnews.com: https://brownfieldagnews.com/news/phosphate-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-stay-high-in-2026-as-china-export-limits-persist/
- brownfieldagnews.com: https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/news/phosphate-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-stay-high-in-2026-as-china-export-limits-persist/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.