# 2026 Weather Outlook: La Niña’s Quick Exit, El Niño’s Potential and the Signals Farmers Should Watch - AgWeb

> AgWeb reports meteorologists expect a quick La Niña exit with a 75% chance of ENSO-neutral by January-March and a growing chance of El Niño in 2026. Nutrien's Eric Snodgrass says 2026 could bring favourable weather for crop production after 2025 forecasts missed flooding and disease pressure.

- Date: 2026-01-08 · published 2026-01-08T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20956-2026-weather-outlook-la-nina-s-quick-exit-el-nino-s-potential-and-the-signals
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A favourable weather outlook weighs on crop risk premiums, supporting a neutral to slightly bearish grain price bias.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-08-27 | [La Nada, No Problem: Weather Outlook for 2025 Harvest and Beyond - Farmer Mac](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23244-la-nada-no-problem-weather-outlook-for-2025-harvest-and-beyond-farmer-mac.md) | +3.6% | +8.1% |
| CORN | 2019-03-22 | [vDouglas: Weather outlooks shows continued El Niño around the world – Wyoming Livestock Roundup](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60010-vdouglas-weather-outlooks-shows-continued-el-nino-around-the-world-wyoming.md) | -1.9% | -4.8% |
| CORN | 2017-12-22 | [Ag Weather Forum: Favorable South America Rain Outlook \| La Niña Ready Nations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67403-ag-weather-forum-favorable-south-america-rain-outlook-la-nina-ready-nations.md) | +0.1% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2023-04-21 | [As El Niño Makes Its Grand Return, Here's What It Tells Us About Summer Weather and Corn Yields - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13281-as-el-nino-makes-its-grand-return-here-s-what-it-tells-us-about-summer-weather.md) | -1.6% | -9.8% |
| CORN | 2026-06-04 | [Corn and soybeans extend losses as favorable crop weather improves outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10647-corn-and-soybeans-extend-losses-as-favorable-crop-weather-improves-outlook.md) | -2.5% | -4.5% |
| SOY | 2025-08-27 | [La Nada, No Problem: Weather Outlook for 2025 Harvest and Beyond - Farmer Mac](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23244-la-nada-no-problem-weather-outlook-for-2025-harvest-and-beyond-farmer-mac.md) | -1.2% | -1.9% |
| SOY | 2019-03-22 | [vDouglas: Weather outlooks shows continued El Niño around the world – Wyoming Livestock Roundup](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60010-vdouglas-weather-outlooks-shows-continued-el-nino-around-the-world-wyoming.md) | -2.3% | -3.3% |
| SOY | 2025-12-12 | [La Niña Is Fading: What It Means for South American Crop Potential - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21412-la-nina-is-fading-what-it-means-for-south-american-crop-potential-agweb.md) | -3.8% | -5.5% |

## Sources

- agweb.com: https://www.agweb.com/news/crops/crop-production/2026-weather-outlook-la-ninas-quick-exit-el-ninos-potential-and-signal

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.