# El Nino Expected to Influence US 2026 Growing Season

> DTN meteorologist John Baranick says La Niña is ending in early 2026 with a possible El Niño by summer, making 2026 a variable weather year. He notes USDA's January WASDE estimated record corn and soybean yields for 2025 and near-record wheat.

- Date: 2026-02-01 · published 2026-02-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20955-el-nino-expected-to-influence-us-2026-growing-season
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Variable summer conditions add uncertainty to US crop prospects, but the record 2025 crop already sets a large supply base that caps price gains.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-02-24 | [The 2025 growing season in Illinois: good but not great - farmdoc](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13014-the-2025-growing-season-in-illinois-good-but-not-great-farmdoc.md) | +1.5% | +7.0% |
| CORN | 2019-01-23 | [Lessons learned from the 2018 growing season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60953-lessons-learned-from-the-2018-growing-season.md) | +0.7% | +0.1% |
| CORN | 2022-03-29 | [Corn yield winners look to new growing season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13375-corn-yield-winners-look-to-new-growing-season.md) | +2.7% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2024-01-30 | [La Niña Returns: Will It Impact 2024 US Growing Season? – Empire Weather Consulting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32038-la-nina-returns-will-it-impact-2024-us-growing-season-empire-weather-consulting.md) | -2.5% | -6.5% |
| CORN | 2025-03-06 | [La Niña event is expected to be short-lived](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25499-la-nina-event-is-expected-to-be-short-lived.md) | +1.8% | +4.8% |
| SOY | 2026-02-24 | [The 2025 growing season in Illinois: good but not great - farmdoc](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13014-the-2025-growing-season-in-illinois-good-but-not-great-farmdoc.md) | +1.4% | +2.6% |
| SOY | 2019-01-23 | [Lessons learned from the 2018 growing season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60953-lessons-learned-from-the-2018-growing-season.md) | +1.1% | -0.7% |
| SOY | 2024-01-30 | [La Niña Returns: Will It Impact 2024 US Growing Season? – Empire Weather Consulting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32038-la-nina-returns-will-it-impact-2024-us-growing-season-empire-weather-consulting.md) | +0.2% | -5.3% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/article/2026/01/14/el-nino-expected-influence-us-2026

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.