# Timing of La Niña Exit, El Niño Entrance is Unclear, Raising Questions About Dryness for Spring and Summer - AgWeb

> AgWeb reports NOAA now forecasts La Niña exiting by spring with a possible El Niño later in 2026, though meteorologists disagree on timing. Dryness persists across parts of the West, Southwest and Southern Plains, raising concerns for spring and summer planting.

- Date: 2026-01-21 · published 2026-01-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20954-timing-of-la-nina-exit-el-nino-entrance-is-unclear-raising-questions-about
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Persistent dryness in key US growing areas raises the risk of lower spring yields, which can support corn, soybean and wheat prices if it intensifies.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-03-14 | [Goodbye, La Niña? Eric Snodgrass Dissects What the Shift Means for Weather This Spring and Summer - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13105-goodbye-la-nina-eric-snodgrass-dissects-what-the-shift-means-for-weather-this.md) | +6.8% | +5.7% |
| CORN | 2023-05-24 | [The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13279-the-u-s-now-has-a-nearly-90-chance-of-seeing-el-nino-this-summer-agweb.md) | -3.4% | -0.1% |
| CORN | 2026-03-13 | [El Niño Watch: 62% Chance of Arrival This Summer, But Drew Lerner Warns Extreme Forecasts May Be Overblown - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20087-el-nino-watch-62-chance-of-arrival-this-summer-but-drew-lerner-warns-extreme.md) | +4.1% | -0.9% |
| CORN | 2024-02-26 | [964. Convergence of El Niño and Expected Transition to La Niña \| Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences \| JIRCAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31587-964-convergence-of-el-nino-and-expected-transition-to-la-nina-japan.md) | +0.5% | +7.8% |
| CORN | 2022-01-14 | [La Niña Conditions Likely to Continue into Spring - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43037-la-nina-conditions-likely-to-continue-into-spring-agweb.md) | -0.1% | +6.0% |
| SOY | 2025-03-14 | [Goodbye, La Niña? Eric Snodgrass Dissects What the Shift Means for Weather This Spring and Summer - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13105-goodbye-la-nina-eric-snodgrass-dissects-what-the-shift-means-for-weather-this.md) | +1.6% | +3.2% |
| SOY | 2023-05-24 | [The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13279-the-u-s-now-has-a-nearly-90-chance-of-seeing-el-nino-this-summer-agweb.md) | -1.7% | +13.5% |
| SOY | 2026-03-13 | [El Niño Watch: 62% Chance of Arrival This Summer, But Drew Lerner Warns Extreme Forecasts May Be Overblown - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20087-el-nino-watch-62-chance-of-arrival-this-summer-but-drew-lerner-warns-extreme.md) | -3.7% | -3.1% |

## Sources

- agweb.com: https://www.agweb.com/news/crops/crop-production/timing-la-nina-exit-el-nino-entrance-unclear-raising-questions-about-d

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.