# Broker MBS flags three factors pressuring Vietnam’s exchange rate

> Broker MBS forecasts the USD/VND rate will rise 2.5-3% in 2026 and attributes recent dong pressure to a weaker dollar, a Federal Reserve New York rate check and talk of possible US-Japan yen intervention. The dollar index fell close to a four-year low in January after Trump's remarks that a weaker dollar was 'very good'.

- Date: 2026-02-14 · published 2026-02-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Vietnam · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20919-broker-mbs-flags-three-factors-pressuring-vietnam-s-exchange-rate
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md), [Vietnamese Dong (VND per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDVND.md)

## Why it matters

A weaker dollar tends to support dollar-priced commodities such as grains and soybean meal, while a stronger dong reduces import costs for Vietnamese feed makers. The forecast implies modest dong weakening over the year.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: neutral
- USDVND: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2024-05-10 | [The Fed - Monetary Policy and Exchange Rates during the Global Tightening](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30140-the-fed-monetary-policy-and-exchange-rates-during-the-global-tightening.md) | -0.8% | +1.1% |
| DXY | 2024-11-12 | [Vietnam dong unlikely to depreciate strongly vs. US dollar in near term: broker](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27697-vietnam-dong-unlikely-to-depreciate-strongly-vs-us-dollar-in-near-term-broker.md) | +0.8% | +1.1% |
| DXY | 2019-03-06 | [Exchange & Interest Rate Forecasts For Euro, Dollar And Pound Sterling: ING](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60348-exchange-and-amp-interest-rate-forecasts-for-euro-dollar-and-pound-sterling-ing.md) | +0.1% | +0.3% |
| DXY | 2017-03-27 | [Goldman Sachs: Weak British Pound Means Weaker Consumer, BoE Looks Through Inflation \| Exchange Rates UK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72231-goldman-sachs-weak-british-pound-means-weaker-consumer-boe-looks-through.md) | +0.1% | +0.2% |
| DXY | 2024-04-01 | [Fed sees three rate cuts in 2024 but a more shallow easing path](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31391-fed-sees-three-rate-cuts-in-2024-but-a-more-shallow-easing-path.md) | -0.0% | +1.6% |

## Sources

- theinvestor.vn: https://theinvestor.vn/broker-mbs-flags-three-factors-pressuring-vietnams-exchange-rate-d18383.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.