# EU wheat faces stiff competition - Grain Central

> The European Commission cut its 2025-26 EU soft wheat export forecast to 29.5 million tonnes from 31 million, raising end-season stocks to 13 million tonnes. Barley exports were raised to 11 million tonnes on strong demand.

- Date: 2026-02-03 · published 2026-02-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region EU · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20528-eu-wheat-faces-stiff-competition-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower EU export volumes lift projected EU stocks, which is bearish for wheat prices, while firmer barley export demand partly offsets this for barley.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-03-11 | [EU competitive pricing explains late-season spike in wheat sales: USDA - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10669-eu-competitive-pricing-explains-late-season-spike-in-wheat-sales-usda-grain.md) | +1.1% | -1.1% |
| WHEAT | 2019-11-25 | [Grain trade: Competition EU and Black Sea countries](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55914-grain-trade-competition-eu-and-black-sea-countries.md) | +1.0% | -1.1% |
| WHEAT | 2022-01-28 | [Sprouted wheat an option for Asian feed: AEGIC - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43095-sprouted-wheat-an-option-for-asian-feed-aegic-grain-central.md) | -1.8% | +2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2019-07-10 | [Cereals: EU faces fiercer competition from Russia - Mundus Agri](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58037-cereals-eu-faces-fiercer-competition-from-russia-mundus-agri.md) | +0.5% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2018-01-11 | [Dust settles on the wheat harvest, focus switches to demand - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66947-dust-settles-on-the-wheat-harvest-focus-switches-to-demand-grain-central.md) | -0.4% | +6.0% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/markets/eu-wheat-faces-stiff-competition/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.