# Climate Prediction Center: La Niña Likely to Fade, El Niño May Develop by Summer - Southeast AgNET

> The Climate Prediction Center gives La Niña a 60% chance of fading by the end of April and a 60% chance that El Niño develops into summer. A possible El Niño would bring a wetter spring to the Northern Belt, Western Plains and Southeast, and warmer, drier conditions to the Corn Belt.

- Date: 2026-02-17 · published 2026-02-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20522-climate-prediction-center-la-nina-likely-to-fade-el-nino-may-develop-by-summer
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A mixed Corn Belt outlook, with drier western areas, could add volatility to corn and soybean prices as traders adjust yield expectations. The effect is likely to build gradually.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-10-06 | [How to prepare for an El Niño winter \| Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62472-how-to-prepare-for-an-el-nino-winter-climate-and-agriculture-in-the-southeast.md) | -0.3% | -0.4% |
| CORN | 2025-06-06 | [Texas Agriculture • June 6, 2025 • El Niño nor La Niña likely to impact Lone Star State this summer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24120-texas-agriculture-june-6-2025-el-nino-nor-la-nina-likely-to-impact-lone-star.md) | -2.1% | -4.6% |
| CORN | 2024-12-12 | [Weak, short-term La Niña expected to develop during winter - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26866-weak-short-term-la-nina-expected-to-develop-during-winter-pro-farmer.md) | -0.0% | +5.6% |
| CORN | 2022-02-01 | [La Niña Likely to Persist Until Early Southern Hemisphere Autumn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42623-la-nina-likely-to-persist-until-early-southern-hemisphere-autumn.md) | +1.8% | +11.1% |
| CORN | 2024-06-13 | [La Nina weather 65% likely to develop in July-Sept, says US forecaster \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29658-la-nina-weather-65-likely-to-develop-in-july-sept-says-us-forecaster-reuters.md) | -2.1% | -8.8% |
| SOY | 2024-12-12 | [Weak, short-term La Niña expected to develop during winter - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26866-weak-short-term-la-nina-expected-to-develop-during-winter-pro-farmer.md) | -4.4% | +1.8% |
| SOY | 2022-02-01 | [La Niña Likely to Persist Until Early Southern Hemisphere Autumn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42623-la-nina-likely-to-persist-until-early-southern-hemisphere-autumn.md) | +6.1% | +14.4% |
| SOY | 2018-04-20 | [South Asian Climate Outlook Forum predicts normal monsoon](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65448-south-asian-climate-outlook-forum-predicts-normal-monsoon.md) | -0.9% | -4.1% |

## Sources

- southeastagnet.com: https://southeastagnet.com/2026/02/17/climate-prediction-center-la-nina-el-nino-spring-outlook/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.