# Top DTN La Nina to El Nino Analog Years Show Large US Corn Production

> DTN analog-year analysis finds that a transition from La Niña to a strong El Niño by late 2026 has historically coincided with large US corn crops. The analysis picks 2023, 2015 and 2009 as the closest analogs. It points to favorable summer temperatures and precipitation.

- Date: 2026-02-18 · published 2026-02-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20519-top-dtn-la-nina-to-el-nino-analog-years-show-large-us-corn-production
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A large expected US corn crop is bearish for corn prices. Feed buyers may see softer corn costs if the pattern plays out, although the outlook is still months away.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-11-04 | [La Nina not expected to hurt Brazilian corn \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13762-la-nina-not-expected-to-hurt-brazilian-corn-the-western-producer.md) | +3.7% | +0.1% |
| CORN | 2023-08-31 | [El Nino should benefit South American crops \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13634-el-nino-should-benefit-south-american-crops-the-western-producer.md) | +1.5% | -6.4% |
| CORN | 2021-02-16 | [Some U.S. ethanol producers reduce production to sell natural gas for a profit](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48631-some-u-s-ethanol-producers-reduce-production-to-sell-natural-gas-for-a-profit.md) | +1.5% | -3.8% |
| CORN | 2026-01-08 | [US CPC sees 75% chance of La Nina transition by early 2026 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20952-us-cpc-sees-75-chance-of-la-nina-transition-by-early-2026-reuters.md) | -3.4% | -2.0% |
| CORN | 2025-12-11 | [La Niña to fade early next year, neutral Pacific conditions likely, U.S. forecasters say - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21415-la-nina-to-fade-early-next-year-neutral-pacific-conditions-likely-u-s.md) | +0.5% | +0.6% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/AG/blogs/ag-weather-forum/blog-post/2026/02/18/top-dtn-la-nina-el-nino-analog-years

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.