# US forecaster sees signs of La Nina shift towards El Nino conditions in early 2026 | Reuters

> A US forecaster reports signs that La Niña is shifting toward El Niño conditions in early 2026. La Niña brings cooler water and a higher risk of floods and drought, while neutral conditions usually support stable weather and yields.

- Date: 2026-02-12 · published 2026-02-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20517-us-forecaster-sees-signs-of-la-nina-shift-towards-el-nino-conditions-in-early
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A move toward El Niño raises the prospect of weather shifts in key growing regions later in 2026. Traders may add a small risk premium to corn and soybean prices, though the impact is still distant.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-06-13 | [La Nina weather 65% likely to develop in July-Sept, says US forecaster \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29658-la-nina-weather-65-likely-to-develop-in-july-sept-says-us-forecaster-reuters.md) | -2.1% | -8.8% |
| CORN | 2024-11-14 | [US forecaster sees 57% chance of La Nina developing between now and December \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27326-us-forecaster-sees-57-chance-of-la-nina-developing-between-now-and-december.md) | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2020-05-14 | [U.S. forecaster sees 65% chance for no El Nino, La Nina during summer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53048-u-s-forecaster-sees-65-chance-for-no-el-nino-la-nina-during-summer.md) | -0.0% | +1.8% |
| CORN | 2025-05-08 | [US CPC sees 74% chance of ENSO Neutral conditions through June-August \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24587-us-cpc-sees-74-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-through-june-august-reuters.md) | -0.6% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2024-12-12 | [US forecaster sees 59% chance of weak, brief La Nina forming by January](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26863-us-forecaster-sees-59-chance-of-weak-brief-la-nina-forming-by-january.md) | -0.0% | +5.6% |
| SOY | 2024-11-14 | [US forecaster sees 57% chance of La Nina developing between now and December \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27326-us-forecaster-sees-57-chance-of-la-nina-developing-between-now-and-december.md) | -1.4% | -0.8% |
| SOY | 2020-05-14 | [U.S. forecaster sees 65% chance for no El Nino, La Nina during summer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53048-u-s-forecaster-sees-65-chance-for-no-el-nino-la-nina-during-summer.md) | +1.3% | +3.6% |
| SOY | 2025-05-08 | [US CPC sees 74% chance of ENSO Neutral conditions through June-August \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24587-us-cpc-sees-74-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-through-june-august-reuters.md) | +3.5% | +2.1% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/us-forecaster-sees-signs-la-nina-shift-towards-el-nino-conditions-early-2026-2026-02-12/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.